Karine Silva vs Gabriella Fernandes Prediction & Odds

Prediction

early read

Karine Silva 63%

63%37%

as of 11 Oct 2026, 09:03 UTC

Tale of the tape

The facts, side by side — Karine Silva vs Gabriella Fernandes.

Red corner KarineSilva“Killer”

VSUpcoming

Blue corner GabriellaFernandes“Gabi”Hometown (per Sherdog): Sao Goncalo, Rio de Janeiro

Women's FlyweightPicks published · graded in public after the card

The story

Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
Carries 42 points more takedown defence than Silva.
Has finished 3 of 5 UFC wins.

19-7

Record

11-4

−1 yr32

Age

5' 5"

Height

+1″5' 6"

+1″67″

Reach

66″

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

+28

UFC bouts

+27%3/560% of wins

Finishes

1/333% of wins

Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s.

All the vitals, as a table

UFC 5-3	UFC record	UFC 3-3
19-7	Pro record	11-4
Killer	Nickname	Gabi
5' 5"	Height	5' 6"
67"	Reach	66"
Orthodox	Stance	Southpaw
32	Age	33
125 lbs.	Weight	125 lbs.
—	Nationality	Brazil
—	Hometown (per Sherdog)	Sao Goncalo, Rio de Janeiro

Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Karine SilvaGabriella Fernandes

Striking

Defence

Grappling / TD

Cardio

Chin

Fight IQ

Our read — derived, not official stats. Ranked within weight class.

Strike zones

Where they go — head to head

Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Karine Silva8 UFC fights · 197 landed

42.2%

HEAD

64.9%

22.8%

BODY

21.3%

35.0%

LEGS

13.8%

Gabriella Fernandes6 UFC fights · 253 landed

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Karine Silva

1.93 / 15m

TAKEDOWNS

0.42 / 15m

3.86 / 15m

ATTEMPTS

2.33 / 15m

50%

ACCURACY

18%

1.60 / 15m

SUB ATT

0.20 / 15m

Gabriella Fernandes

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (3.42 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Women's Flyweight

Stats comparison

Karine Silva (left) vs Gabriella Fernandes (right) — career striking & grappling rates.

Strikes landed / min

2.24

3.51

Striking accuracy

38%

46%

Strikes absorbed / min

2.74

5.31

Striking defence

52%

53%

Takedowns / 15 min

1.93

0.42

Takedown accuracy

50%

18%

Takedown defence

26%

68%

Sub attempts / 15 min

1.6

0.2

Career averages from public UFC statistics.

Bios

Who these two are — reported newsroom prose where we have it, our own data-built profile where we don’t. Each is labelled.

Karine SilvaFightIQ profileSubmission grappler

5' 5" orthodox submission grappler campaigning at Women's Flyweight. 5 UFC wins — 3 submission, 2 decision.

Built from Karine Silva’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →

Gabriella FernandesFightIQ profileAll-rounder

5' 6" southpaw all-rounder campaigning at Women's Flyweight. 3 UFC wins — 1 submission, 2 decision.

Built from Gabriella Fernandes’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →

Go deeper

Karine Silva’s fighter page →Gabriella Fernandes’s fighter page →Every current pick →

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Karine Silva vs Gabriella Fernandes prediction