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Jonny Parsons vs Jose Souza prediction

Welterweight · Bonfim vs Brady · 7 Nov 2026
UFC 1-0 · Pro 9-3
VS
UFC 1-0 · Pro 9-1

Prediction

early read
Jose Souza 68%
32%68%
as of 11 Oct 2026, 09:03 UTC

By the numbers

  • Age

    Souza is 10 years younger. With an age gap of 10 years or more, the younger fighter wins 70% of UFC fights (353 of 508 fights).

  • Time away

    Parsons’s first UFC fight in 40 months. A fighter coming back after 2 years or more away, against an opponent active within the year, wins 39% of the time (83 of 213 fights).

  • Reach

    Souza has 10 inches more reach. A reach advantage of 7 inches or more wins 60% of UFC fights (223 of 375 fights).

Counted from every UFC fight on record before this bout. These are history, not our model’s read.

Tale of the tape

The facts, side by side — Jonny Parsons vs Jose Souza.

Red corner JonnyParsons“The Sluggernaut”Syndicate MMA · Hometown (per Sherdog): Las Vegas, Nevada
VSUpcoming
Blue corner JoseSouzaAlliance Training Center · Hometown (per Sherdog): San Diego, California
WelterweightPicks published · graded in public after the card
9-3
Record
9-1
35
Age
−11 yr24
5' 9"
Height
+6″6' 3"
69″
Reach
+10″79″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
1
UFC bouts
1
1/1100% of wins
Finishes
0/10% of wins
Syndicate MMA
Gym
Alliance Training Center
Las Vegas, Nevadahometown, per Sherdog
From
San Diego, Californiahometown, per Sherdog
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s.
All the vitals, as a table
UFC 1-0UFC recordUFC 1-0
9-3Pro record9-1
The SluggernautNickname—
5' 9"Height6' 3"
69"Reach79"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
35Age24
170 lbs.Weight170 lbs.
United StatesNationalityUnited States
Las Vegas, NevadaHometown (per Sherdog)San Diego, California
Syndicate MMACampAlliance Training Center
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Jonny ParsonsJose Souza
68
Striking
68
50
Defence
29
n/a
Grappling / TD
n/a
87 limited sample
CardioRound-2 tape only
69 limited sample
60 limited sample
Chin
63 limited sample
66
Fight IQ
57
Our read — derived, not official stats. Ranked within weight class.

Strike zones

Strike zones

Where they go — head to head

Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Jonny Parsons1 UFC fights · 63 landed

Limited sample
66.7%
HEAD
84.7%
19.0%
BODY
9.7%
14.3%
LEGS
5.6%

Jose Souza1 UFC fights · 72 landed

Limited sample

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.

Takedowns

Takedowns

Jonny Parsons

The level change — how often it lands, how often it is stopped. Career UFC rates, straight off the tape.

0.00takedowns / 15 min
FightIQ read Rarely shoots 0.00 takedowns landed per 15 minutes — −2.10 on the field average.
Career ratesvs field average
TAKEDOWNS
0.00 / 15m−2.10 vs field
ATTEMPTS
Attempts per 15 needs both a landed rate and a completion rate; one of them is missing, so we do not divide.
n/a
ACCURACY
No takedown attempt on the record — UFCStats writes 0% here, which is not a completion rate.
n/a
SUB ATT
0.00 / 15m−1.33 vs field

Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.27 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.

Ranked in Welterweight

Stats comparison

Jonny Parsons (left) vs Jose Souza (right) — career striking & grappling rates.

Strikes landed / min
4.65
vs
4.24
Striking accuracy
44%
vs
45%
Strikes absorbed / min
4.89
vs
4.86
Striking defence
60%
vs
49%
Takedowns / 15 min
0
vs
0
Takedown accuracy
0%
vs
0%
Takedown defence
66%
vs
0%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0
vs
0
Career averages from public UFC statistics.

Bios

Who these two are — reported newsroom prose where we have it, our own data-built profile where we don’t. Each is labelled.

Jonny ParsonsFightIQ profileTechnical striker

5' 9" orthodox technical striker campaigning at Welterweight. 1 UFC win — 1 KO/TKO.

Built from Jonny Parsons’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →
Jose SouzaFightIQ profileAll-rounder

6' 3" orthodox all-rounder campaigning at Welterweight. 1 UFC win — 1 decision.

Built from Jose Souza’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →

Go deeper

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