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Events · Allen vs Duncan
10 Oct 2026

Allen vs Duncan

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Duncan — the promotion’s own billing for this card

Meta APEX Las Vegas, NV United States · 12 fights
FightIQ 5-5on this card · 50% · 10 fights graded
Every pick on this card is one honest, calibrated confidence rating — the % is the signal. Graded against the official UFC result. See the full record →

The full card, graded

MAIN CARD
★ Main Event · Middleweight POTN -115 / +100
Brendan Allen
VS
Christian Leroy Duncan
55%45%
TOSS-UPWe predict Brendan Allen — 55% confidentWIN The receipt
Lightweight +162 / -188
Jai Herbert
VS
Matheus Camilo
27%73%
HIGHWe predict Matheus Camilo — 73% confidentLOSS (Jai Herbert · DEC) The receipt
Women's Strawweight +200 / -225
Ketlen Souza
VS
Loopy Godinez
25%75%
HIGHWe predict Loopy Godinez — 75% confidentWIN The receipt
Featherweight POTN -150 / +128
Andre Fili
VS
Kai Kamaka III
60%40%
MEDWe predict Andre Fili — 60% confidentWIN The receipt
Bantamweight POTN -210 / +180
Malcolm Wellmaker
VS
Otari Tanzilovi
57%43%
LOWWe predict Malcolm Wellmaker — 57% confidentLOSS (Otari Tanzilovi · KO/TKO) The receipt
PRELIMS
Light Heavyweight +250 / -310
Gerald Meerschaert
VS
Julius Walker
19%81%
LOCKWe predict Julius Walker — 81% confidentWIN The receipt
Lightweight -150 / +135
Francisco Prado
VS
Ismael Bonfim
68%32%
MEDWe predict Francisco Prado — 68% confidentWIN The receipt
Welterweight -135 / +130
Leon Shahbazyan
VS
Niko Price
60%40%
LOWWe predict Leon Shahbazyan — 60% confidentLOSS (Niko Price · KO/TKO) The receipt
Light Heavyweight +320 / -350
Brendson Ribeiro
VS
Felipe Franco
15%85%
LOCKWe predict Felipe Franco — 85% confidentLOSS (Brendson Ribeiro · SUB) The receipt
Heavyweight +300 / -350
Allen Frye Jr.
VS
RJ Harris
20%80%
HIGHWe predict RJ Harris — 80% confidentLOSS (Allen Frye Jr. · KO/TKO) The receipt
Women's Bantamweight -130 / +120
Alice Pereira
VS
Daria Zhelezniakova
No model read — One of the inputs our method requires was not available for this bout, so we publish no prediction rather than one built on less.No call we published no pick for this bout — excluded from our record
Women's Flyweight +108 / -120
Ernesta Kareckaite
VS
Melissa Gatto
Not graded bout not in the official graded result for this card — excluded from our record
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