Round 1⚡ 1 KD Jr.Ended 2:59
40 of 55
Sig.
strikes
strikes
20 of 56
0 of 0
Take-
downs
downs
0 of 0
0:05
Control
0:01
1
Knock-
downs
downs
0
Distance 35Clinch 1Ground 4
Where it
happened
happened
Distance 19Clinch 1Ground 0
7-1
Record
6-1
28
Age
28
+2″6' 5"
Height
6' 3"
+2″80″
Reach
78″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
1
UFC bouts
1
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.
The call vs the fight
What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.
Our call
RJ Harris
80.0% confidentHIGH
The fight
Allen Frye Jr.
LOSS✓
Graded against the official UFC result, from
the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict
is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads
as one. See the full public record →
Round by round
Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.
UFCStats · per round
1 round of tape
Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.
How it ended
This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.
Won inside the distance
Allen Frye Jr.
Round
1
Clock
2:59
Method
KO/TKO
This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Herb Dean.
The market story
What the market did on the way to the cage — the price, not our model. The gold marker is where our pick was frozen.
Allen Frye Jr.RJ HarrisPolymarketSportsbook consensus (vig removed)
From the open the market drifted toward our pick: RJ Harris's implied chance moved up from 50% to 76% (+26.5pp).
This series stops at Oct 10 22:01Z — the point at which this bout’s own market began the move that ended in settlement. Our capture window is card-level and kept running through the fight, so what follows it in the raw file is the market collapsing live and then paying out at 1.00 / 0.00. That is a settlement, not price history: it is not drawn, and it is not counted in the figures below.
Our published call had RJ Harris at 80.0%. At the last price we captured before this bout’s market began to settle, the de-vigged market had the same fighter at 76.5% — our number sat 3.5pp above the market’s. Two numbers, side by side. How our calls have actually done is the public record, not one bout.
Show the numbers
| Series | Open | Low | High | Last pre-fight | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen Frye Jr. — sportsbook consensus | 33.7% | 23.9% | 34.5% | 23.9% | −9.9pp |
| RJ Harris — sportsbook consensus | 66.3% | 65.5% | 76.1% | 76.1% | +9.9pp |
| Allen Frye Jr. — Polymarket | 50.0% | 23.5% | 50.0% | 23.5% | −26.5pp |
| RJ Harris — Polymarket | 50.0% | 50.0% | 76.5% | 76.5% | +26.5pp |
Price history from Polymarket (moneyline, both corners) and BestFightOdds (sportsbook consensus, vig removed). 1,153 snapshots on file · window Oct 02 22:11–Oct 10 21:51Z · last capture Oct 10, 21:51Z · hourly-downsampled for the chart · read at build time from the price archive, not a live feed.