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Jim Miller vs Terrance McKinney prediction

Lightweight · Gane vs Hokit · 14 Nov 2026
UFC 28-18 (1 draw/NC) · Pro 39-19
VS
UFC 8-6 · Pro 18-9

Prediction

early read
Terrance McKinney 73%
27%73%
as of 11 Oct 2026, 09:03 UTC

By the numbers

  • Age

    McKinney is 11 years younger. With an age gap of 10 years or more, the younger fighter wins 70% of UFC fights (353 of 508 fights).

  • Finishers

    Both fighters finish: at least two thirds of their UFC wins ended inside the distance. When two finishers meet, 64% of UFC fights end inside the distance (354 of 550 fights). Across every UFC fight it is 53%.

Counted from every UFC fight on record before this bout. These are history, not our model’s read.

Tale of the tape

The facts, side by side — Jim Miller vs Terrance McKinney.

Red corner JimMiller“A-10”Sussex County MMA · Born in Sparta Township, New Jersey, United States · Fights out of Sparta Township, New Jersey, United States
VSUpcoming
Blue corner TerranceMcKinney“T. Wrecks”Warrior Camp · Born in Spokane, Washington, United States · Fights out of Spokane, Washington, United States
LightweightPicks published · graded in public after the card
The story
  • Has finished 20 of 28 UFC wins.
  • Every one of McKinney’s 8 UFC wins came inside the distance.
  • 47 UFC bouts deep — 33 more than McKinney.
  • Lands 3.9 more significant strikes a minute than Miller.
39-19
Record
18-9
43
Age
−11 yr32
5' 8"
Height
+2″5' 10"
71″
Reach
+2″73″
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
+3347
UFC bouts
14
20/2871% of wins
Finishes
+29%8/8100% of wins
Sussex County MMA
Gym
Warrior Camp
Sparta Township, New Jersey, United States
Born in
Spokane, Washington, United States
Sparta Township, New Jersey, United States
Fights out of
Spokane, Washington, United States
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s.
All the vitals, as a table
UFC 28-18 (1 draw/NC)UFC recordUFC 8-6
39-19Pro record18-9
A-10NicknameT. Wrecks
5' 8"Height5' 10"
71"Reach73"
SouthpawStanceSwitch
43Age32
155 lbs.Weight155 lbs.
United StatesNationalityUnited States
Sparta Township, New Jersey, United StatesBorn inSpokane, Washington, United States
Sparta Township, New Jersey, United StatesFights out ofSpokane, Washington, United States
Sussex County MMACampWarrior Camp
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Jim MillerTerrance McKinney
52
Striking
93
58
Defence
28
63
Grappling / TD
75
10
Cardio
69 limited sample
86
Chin
6
54
Fight IQ
54
Our read — derived, not official stats. Ranked within weight class.

Strike zones

Strike zones

Where they go — head to head

Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Jim Miller47 UFC fights · 1,322 landed

58.6%
HEAD
87.2%
20.1%
BODY
12.8%
21.3%
LEGS
0.0%

Terrance McKinney14 UFC fights · 274 landed

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Jim Miller

1.49takedowns / 15 min
1.49 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
3.27 / 15m
3.31 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
7.79 / 15m
45%
ACCURACY
42%
1.70 / 15m
SUB ATT
1.80 / 15m

Terrance McKinney

3.27takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.19 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Lightweight

Stats comparison

Jim Miller (left) vs Terrance McKinney (right) — career striking & grappling rates.

Strikes landed / min
2.92
vs
6.83
Striking accuracy
42%
vs
55%
Strikes absorbed / min
3.43
vs
4.07
Striking defence
56%
vs
42%
Takedowns / 15 min
1.49
vs
3.27
Takedown accuracy
45%
vs
42%
Takedown defence
47%
vs
72%
Sub attempts / 15 min
1.7
vs
1.8
Career averages from public UFC statistics.

Bios

Who these two are — reported newsroom prose where we have it, our own data-built profile where we don’t. Each is labelled.

Jim MillerFightIQ profileSubmission grappler

5' 8" southpaw submission grappler campaigning at Lightweight. 28 UFC wins — 6 KO/TKO, 14 submission, 8 decision.

Built from Jim Miller’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →
Terrance McKinneyFightIQ profilePower striker

5' 10" switch power striker campaigning at Lightweight. 8 UFC wins — 5 KO/TKO, 3 submission.

Built from Terrance McKinney’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →

Go deeper

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