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Adrian Yanez vs Juan Diaz prediction

Bantamweight · Gane vs Hokit · 14 Nov 2026
UFC 7-3 (1 draw/NC) · Pro 18-6-1
VS
UFC 1-0 · Pro 16-1-1

Prediction

early read
Juan Diaz 63%
37%63%
as of 11 Oct 2026, 09:03 UTC

By the numbers

  • Age

    Diaz is 4 years younger. With an age gap of 4 to 5 years, the younger fighter wins 56% of UFC fights (929 of 1,653 fights).

Counted from every UFC fight on record before this bout. These are history, not our model’s read.

Tale of the tape

The facts, side by side — Adrian Yanez vs Juan Diaz.

Red corner AdrianYanezMetro Fight Club · Born in Houston, Texas, United States · Fights out of Houston, Texas, United States
VSUpcoming
Blue corner JuanDiazHometown (per Sherdog): Lima
BantamweightPicks published · graded in public after the card
The story
  • Has finished 6 of 7 UFC wins.
  • Averages 5.5 more takedowns per 15 minutes than Yanez.
  • 11 UFC bouts deep — 10 more than Diaz.
18-6-1
Record
16-1-1
32
Age
−4 yr28
5' 7"
Height
+1″5' 8"
+1″70″
Reach
69″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
+1011
UFC bouts
1
6/786% of wins
Finishes
1/1100% of wins
Houston, Texas, United Statesfights out of
From
Limahometown, per Sherdog
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s.
All the vitals, as a table
UFC 7-3 (1 draw/NC)UFC recordUFC 1-0
18-6-1Pro record16-1-1
5' 7"Height5' 8"
70"Reach69"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
32Age28
135 lbs.Weight135 lbs.
United StatesNationalityPeru
Houston, Texas, United StatesBorn in—
Houston, Texas, United StatesFights out of—
—Hometown (per Sherdog)Lima
Metro Fight ClubCamp—
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Adrian YanezJuan Diaz
72
Striking
57
39
Defence
64
n/a
Grappling / TD
77
86
Cardio
54 limited sample
26
Chin
52 limited sample
56
Fight IQ
61
Our read — derived, not official stats. Ranked within weight class.

Strike zones

Strike zones

Where they go — head to head

Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Adrian Yanez11 UFC fights · 504 landed

74.0%
HEAD
23.1%
12.7%
BODY
23.1%
13.3%
LEGS
53.8%

Juan Diaz1 UFC fights · 13 landed

Limited sample

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Adrian Yanez

0.00takedowns / 15 min
0.00 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
5.50 / 15m
n/a
ATTEMPTS
11.00 / 15m
n/a
ACCURACY
50%
0.00 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.80 / 15m

Juan Diaz

5.50takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.50 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Bantamweight

Stats comparison

Adrian Yanez (left) vs Juan Diaz (right) — career striking & grappling rates.

Strikes landed / min
5.95
vs
3.72
Striking accuracy
41%
vs
41%
Strikes absorbed / min
5.22
vs
3.4
Striking defence
56%
vs
59%
Takedowns / 15 min
0
vs
5.5
Takedown accuracy
0%
vs
50%
Takedown defence
76%
vs
0%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0
vs
0.8
Career averages from public UFC statistics.

Bios

Who these two are — reported newsroom prose where we have it, our own data-built profile where we don’t. Each is labelled.

Adrian YanezFightIQ profilePower striker

5' 7" orthodox power striker campaigning at Bantamweight. 7 UFC wins — 6 KO/TKO, 1 decision.

Built from Adrian Yanez’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →
Juan DiazFightIQ profileWrestler

5' 8" orthodox wrestler campaigning at Bantamweight. 1 UFC win — 1 submission.

Built from Juan Diaz’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →

Go deeper

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