Julien Leblanc vs Nick Galanti Prediction

FightIQ’s read

FightIQ's read: Nick Galanti over Julien Leblanc at 81% confidence — a lean.

That read sits 0.0pp above the sportsbook line's implied 81% on Nick Galanti.

Most likely outcome: KO/TKO at 47% (KO/TKO 47%, submission 28%, decision 26%) — a lean rather than a call.

The model gives it a 26% chance of going the distance, with a projected median fight time around 6:13.

Assembled from the model's own outputs — not written free-hand. If a number isn't in the model, it isn't in this summary.

Prediction

One honest, calibrated confidence rating — the number is the signal.

We predict Nick Galanti — 81% confident

Julien Leblanc 19%Nick Galanti 81%

How it ends (method)

KO / TKO47%

Submission28%

Decision26%

How long it lasts (rounds)

Reaches R245%

Reaches R330%

Goes the distance26%

6:13

median time

+0.0pp

vs sportsbook line

Published 10 Oct 2026, 09:11 UTC — before the fight. Graded on this page after it.

By the numbers

UFC debut
Galanti’s UFC debut, against a fighter with 1 UFC fight. Debutants facing an opponent with 1 to 3 UFC fights win 42% of the time (413 of 978 fights).
How we know →
Age
Galanti is 6 years younger. With an age gap of 6 to 7 years, the younger fighter wins 60% of UFC fights (637 of 1,058 fights).
How we know →

History leans Leblanc on 1 of these; our model still picks Galanti.

Counted from every UFC fight on record before this bout. These are history, not our model’s read.

Odds

The sportsbook line next to the live prediction-market prices — information only. Each bar is the two sides' share of one certain outcome.

Sportsbook line

Julien Leblanc19% · +400

Nick Galanti81% · -549

bar = implied chance, vig removed

Tale of the tape

The facts, side by side — Julien Leblanc vs Nick Galanti.

Red corner JulienLeblancPatenaude Martial Arts · Hometown (per Sherdog): Gatineau, Quebec

VSUpcoming

Blue corner NickGalanti

Middleweight3 roundsPicks published · graded in public after the card

The story

Carries 46 points more striking defence than Galanti.
Lands 12.0 more significant strikes a minute than Leblanc.

10-3

Record

8-1

Age

−6 yr28

+1″6' 2"

Height

6' 1"

74″

Reach

+1″75″

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s.

All the vitals, as a table

UFC 0-1	UFC record	—
10-3	Pro record	8-1
6' 2"	Height	6' 1"
74"	Reach	75"
Southpaw	Stance	Southpaw
34	Age	28
185 lbs.	Weight	185 lbs.
Canada	Nationality	—
Gatineau, Quebec	Hometown (per Sherdog)	—
Patenaude Martial Arts	Camp	—

Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Julien LeblancNick Galanti

Striking

100

Defence

n/a

Grappling / TD

n/a

CardioNo round past the first on our tape

n/a

64 limited sample

Chin

n/a

Fight IQ

Our read — derived, not official stats. Ranked within weight class.

Strike zones

Julien Leblanc

Where the strikes go — and where they land on him. Career UFC totals, straight off the tape.

FightIQ read Body puncher 50.0% of his landed strikes go to the body — +29.5 on the field average.

Share by zonevs field average

HEAD

25.0%−38.5 vs field

BODY

50.0%+29.5 vs field

LEGS

25.0%+9.0 vs field

Where the offence happens

DISTANCE 100%CLINCH 0%GROUND 0%

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.

Limited sample1 UFC fights · 4 landed

Stats comparison

Julien Leblanc (left) vs Nick Galanti (right) — career striking & grappling rates.

Strikes landed / min

1.69

13.71

Striking accuracy

66%

80%

Strikes absorbed / min

2.96

1.71

Striking defence

46%

Takedowns / 15 min

Takedown accuracy

Takedown defence

Sub attempts / 15 min

Career averages from public UFC statistics.

Bios

Who these two are — reported newsroom prose where we have it, our own data-built profile where we don’t. Each is labelled.

Julien LeblancFightIQ profileAll-rounder

6' 2" southpaw all-rounder campaigning at Middleweight.

Built from Julien Leblanc’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →

Nick GalantiFightIQ profileVolume boxer

6' 1" southpaw volume boxer campaigning at Middleweight.

Built from Nick Galanti’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →

Go deeper

Julien Leblanc’s fighter page →Nick Galanti’s fighter page →The full UFC Edmonton card →Every current pick →

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Julien Leblanc vs Nick Galanti prediction