Round 1⚡ 2 KD McGheeEnded 4:58
13 of 37
Sig.
strikes
strikes
34 of 75
1 of 1
Take-
downs
downs
0 of 0
0:04
Control
1:01
0
Knock-
downs
downs
2
Distance 13Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
happened
Distance 14Clinch 0Ground 20
AR
Red corner
AnthonyRomero
VSSettled
Blue corner
MarcusMcGhee“The Maniac”MMA Lab · Born in Detroit, Michigan, United States · Fights out of Phoenix, Arizona, United States
We hold no public fighter-register entry for Anthony Romero yet, so there is no side-by-side to lay out here — an empty ladder would say less than saying that.
The call vs the fight
What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.
Our call
Marcus McGhee
80.7% confident
The fight
Marcus McGhee
WIN✗
Graded against the official UFC result, from
the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict
is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads
as one. See the full public record →
By the numbers
UFC debut
Romero’s UFC debut, against a fighter with 6 UFC fights. Debutants facing an opponent with 4 to 9 UFC fights win 41% of the time (215 of 525 fights).
Counted from every UFC fight on record before this bout. These are history, not our model’s read.
Round by round
Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.
UFCStats · per round
1 round of tape
Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.
How it ended
This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.
Won inside the distance
Marcus McGhee
Round
1
Clock
4:58
Method
KO/TKO
This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Tyler Tomlinson.
Takedowns
Takedowns
Marcus McGhee
The level change — how often it lands, how often it is stopped. Career UFC rates, straight off the tape.
FightIQ read
Rarely shoots
0.22 takedowns landed per 15 minutes — −1.98 on the field average.
Career ratesvs field average
TAKEDOWNS2
0.22 / 15m−1.98 vs field
ATTEMPTS20
2.00 / 15m−3.35 vs field
ACCURACY3
11%−34pp vs field
SUB ATT13
0.20 / 15m−1.12 vs field
TD DEFENCE81
81%+19pp vs field
Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.50 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.
Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.
Ranked roster-wide
The market story
What the market did on the way to the cage — the price, not our model. The gold marker is where our pick was frozen.
Anthony RomeroMarcus McGheePolymarketSportsbook consensus (vig removed)
From the open the market drifted toward our pick: Marcus McGhee's implied chance moved up from 50% to 82% (+32.5pp).
This series stops at Oct 03 22:21Z — the last capture we hold from before the bout that ran ahead of this one on the card had finished — so it is provably from before this fight started. Our capture window is card-level and kept running through the fight, so what follows it in the raw file is the market collapsing live and then paying out at 1.00 / 0.00. That is a settlement, not price history: it is not drawn, and it is not counted in the figures below.
Our published call had Marcus McGhee at 80.7%. At the last price we captured before the fight, the de-vigged market had the same fighter at 82.5% — our number sat 1.8pp below the market’s. Two numbers, side by side. How our calls have actually done is the public record, not one bout.
Show the numbers
| Series | Open | Low | High | Last pre-fight | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Romero — sportsbook consensus | 19.4% | 18.6% | 19.4% | 18.6% | −0.7pp |
| Marcus McGhee — sportsbook consensus | 80.6% | 80.6% | 81.4% | 81.4% | +0.7pp |
| Anthony Romero — Polymarket | 50.0% | 17.5% | 50.0% | 17.5% | −32.5pp |
| Marcus McGhee — Polymarket | 50.0% | 50.0% | 82.5% | 82.5% | +32.5pp |
Price history from Polymarket (moneyline, both corners) and BestFightOdds (sportsbook consensus, vig removed). 27 snapshots on file · window Oct 03 18:51–Oct 03 22:11Z · last capture Oct 03, 22:11Z · hourly-downsampled for the chart · read at build time from the price archive, not a live feed.