vs Diego Lopes · Oliveira vs Lopes · 12 Dec 2026. FightIQ’s early read: Diego Lopes (52%).
Charles Oliveira vs Diego Lopes prediction →Built from Charles Oliveira’s own numbers — record, form, fighting style and standout rate. Not reported prose. Submission grappler
5' 10" orthodox submission grappler campaigning at Lightweight. 25 UFC wins — 4 KO/TKO, 17 submission, 4 decision. Top 9% of Lightweights: averages 2.6 submission attempts per 15 minutes and connects with 55% of his significant strikes.
The facts, plainly — vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. A field we can't source stays “pending”; it never shows a fake value. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The social accounts are the ones linked from the fighter’s own official athlete page — we don’t match handles by name. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves, and is dated by the first and last bout it counts.
| Nickname | Do Bronxs |
| Nationality | Brazil |
| Born in | Guarujá, Brazil Wikipedia |
| Fights out of | Guarujá, São Paulo, Brazil Wikipedia |
| Camp | pending |
| Height | 5' 10" |
| Reach | 74" |
| Stance | Orthodox |
| Age | 36 |
| Date of birth | Oct 17, 1989 |
| Weight | 155 lbs. |
| Pro record | 37-11 |
| UFC record | UFC 25-11 (1 draw/NC) first fight 2010-08-01 · last fight 2026-03-07 |
| Finish split | 25 UFC wins — 4 KO/TKO, 17 submission, 4 decision |
| Social |
Every week Charles Oliveira has stood in the official UFC rankings, one row per table, 3 of them, each band running from the table that set it to the table that changed it.
Official UFC.com official rankings, 2013–present · rankings of 6 October 2026
A published rank holds until the next table changes it, so a band runs from the table that set it to the table that ended it — that is how a ranking works, and it is why an unbroken reign is drawn unbroken. Nothing is interpolated: the band is the last published STATUS, never a rank in between, and the hatched stretches are weeks the archive holds no table for at all. The champion band sits above #1 because a belt is not a rank. The three pound-for-pound tables — the combined one to January 2020, then the Men's and Women's ones — share a row, because they are one standing under three names.
Career averages over Charles Oliveira’s UFC bouts, straight from public UFC statistics — the same eight numbers on his official record. These are the source’s figures, not our read: what we make of them is the card below.
Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the Lightweight field — not against the whole roster. Tap any i for what a score measures.
Every fight of Charles Oliveira’s that we called in the live 2026 season — whichever corner we called it for. Posted before the fight, graded after it.
FightIQ has called 1 of Charles Oliveira’s fights in 2026: 0 correct (0–1 — 0% right). Each call was posted before the fight and graded after it. The confidence % is the number we stood behind at the time — losses shown, toss-ups included.
| Date | Opponent | We called it for | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Max Holloway | Max Holloway (against Oliveira) | 63.2% | Missed |
Across our full back-tested history we called 5 of Charles Oliveira’s fights, 3 correct. Back-tested, not part of the public timestamped record: these were computed after the fact, so they show the model working on old cards — they were never published ahead of those fights.
Where the strikes go — and where they land on him. Career UFC totals, straight off the tape.
Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.
The level change — how often it lands, how often it is stopped. Career UFC rates, straight off the tape.
Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.19 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.
Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.
Pro record: 37-11. In the UFC: 25-11-1. Charles Oliveira’s last 8 UFC bouts, most recent first — the result in the cage, not our pick.
Straight off the official UFC fight record. Card names are left off on purpose: the only event labels in our data are derived, and we’d rather print nothing than print one that’s wrong.
21 post-fight bonuses since the UFC’s bonus programme began in 2006 — 4 Fight of the Night, 14 Performance of the Night, 3 Submission of the Night.
| Date | Award | Opponent | Event | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-11 | POTN | Performance of the Night | Mateusz Gamrot | UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot |
| 2024-11-16 | FOTN | Fight of the Night | Michael Chandler | UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic |
| 2023-06-10 | POTN | Performance of the Night | Beneil Dariush | UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana |
| 2021-12-11 | POTN | Performance of the Night | Dustin Poirier | UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier |
| 2021-05-15 | POTN | Performance of the Night | Michael Chandler | UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler |
| 2020-03-14 | POTN | Performance of the Night | Kevin Lee | UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira |
| 2019-11-16 | POTN | Performance of the Night | Jared Gordon | UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare |
| 2019-02-02 | POTN | Performance of the Night | David Teymur | UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 |
| 2018-12-15 | POTN | Performance of the Night | Jim Miller | UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta |
| 2018-09-22 | POTN | Performance of the Night | Christos Giagos | UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders |
| 2018-06-09 | POTN | Performance of the Night | Clay Guida | UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 |
| 2017-04-08 | POTN | Performance of the Night | Will Brooks | UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 |
| 2015-05-30 | POTN | Performance of the Night | Nik Lentz | UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves |
| 2015-05-30 | FOTN | Fight of the Night | Nik Lentz | UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves |
| 2014-06-28 | POTN | Performance of the Night | Hatsu Hioki | — |
| 2014-02-15 | POTN | Performance of the Night | Andy Ogle | UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi |
| 2013-07-06 | FOTN | Fight of the Night | Frankie Edgar | UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman |
| 2012-01-28 | SOTN | Submission of the Night | Eric Wisely | UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis |
| 2011-06-26 | FOTN | Fight of the Night | Nik Lentz | UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry |
| 2010-09-15 | SOTN | Submission of the Night | Efrain Escudero | UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares |
| 2010-08-01 | SOTN | Submission of the Night | Darren Elkins | UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko |
The UFC's post-fight bonus programme began in 2006, so every total here is a career total since 2006. A fighter who fought only before then has no bonuses because the award did not exist yet. Fight of the Night is a shared award and is credited to both fighters. Performance, Knockout and Submission of the Night are individual awards, credited to the fighter the official record names.
Awards whose recipient the official list does not name are credited to nobody, so these counts are a floor: 245 of 1,339 Performance of the Night and 1 of 180 Submission of the Night awards are unassigned as of 11 October 2026.
| Date | Opponent | Method | Rd | Event | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | W | Max Holloway | Decision (unanimous) | R5 | UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 |
| 2025-10-11 | W | Mateusz Gamrot | Submission | R2 | UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot |
| 2025-06-28 | L | Ilia Topuria | KO/TKO | R1 | UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira |
| 2024-11-16 | W | Michael Chandler | Decision (unanimous) | R5 | UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic |
| 2024-04-13 | L | Arman Tsarukyan | Decision (split) | R3 | UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill |
| 2023-06-10 | W | Beneil Dariush | KO/TKO | R1 | UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana |
| 2022-10-22 | L | Islam Makhachev | Submission | R2 | UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev |
| 2022-05-07 | W | Justin Gaethje | Submission | R1 | UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje |
| 2021-12-11 | W | Dustin Poirier | Submission | R3 | UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier |
| 2021-05-15 | W | Michael Chandler | KO/TKO | R2 | UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler |
| 2020-12-12 | W | Tony Ferguson | Decision (unanimous) | R3 | UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno |
| 2020-03-14 | W | Kevin Lee | Submission | R3 | UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira |
| 2019-11-16 | W | Jared Gordon | KO/TKO | R1 | UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare |
| 2019-05-18 | W | Nik Lentz | KO/TKO | R2 | UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee |
| 2019-02-02 | W | David Teymur | Submission | R2 | UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 |
| 2018-12-15 | W | Jim Miller | Submission | R1 | UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta |
| 2018-09-22 | W | Christos Giagos | Submission | R2 | UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders |
| 2018-06-09 | W | Clay Guida | Submission | R1 | UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 |
| 2017-12-02 | L | Paul Felder | KO/TKO | R2 | UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 |
| 2017-04-08 | W | Will Brooks | Submission | R1 | UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 |
| 2016-11-05 | L | Ricardo Lamas | Submission | R2 | UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson |
| 2016-08-27 | L | Anthony Pettis | Submission | R3 | UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit |
| 2015-12-19 | W | Myles Jury | Submission | R1 | UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 |
| 2015-08-23 | L | Max Holloway | KO/TKO | R1 | UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira |
| 2015-05-30 | W | Nik Lentz | Submission | R3 | UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves |
| 2014-12-12 | W | Jeremy Stephens | Decision (unanimous) | R3 | The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale |
| 2014-06-28 | W | Hatsu Hioki | Submission | R2 | — |
| 2014-02-15 | W | Andy Ogle | Submission | R3 | UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi |
| 2013-07-06 | L | Frankie Edgar | Decision (unanimous) | R3 | UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman |
| 2012-09-22 | L | Cub Swanson | KO/TKO | R1 | UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort |
| 2012-06-01 | W | Jonathan Brookins | Submission | R2 | The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale |
| 2012-01-28 | W | Eric Wisely | Submission | R1 | UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis |
| 2011-08-14 | L | Donald Cerrone | KO/TKO | R1 | UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle |
| 2011-06-26 | D | Nik Lentz | Overturned | R2 | UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry |
| 2010-12-11 | L | Jim Miller | Submission | R1 | UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2 |
| 2010-09-15 | W | Efrain Escudero | Submission | R3 | UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares |
| 2010-08-01 | W | Darren Elkins | Submission | R1 | UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko |
Every date links to that bout’s own page. Card names come from the official event record; where the UFC ran two cards on one date, or that record has no row for it, the Event column is left empty rather than filled with a guess.
Charles Oliveira’s official weigh-in — the weight the commission read off the scale, and the limit it had to be under.
| Date | Opponent | Weight / limit | Division | Source | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Max Holloway | 156 / 156 | MADE | Lightweight | UFC.com |
Weigh-in results cover the 31 UFC cards held in 2026 so far — 24 January 2026 to 12 September 2026. Earlier years are not on file yet, so a fighter with no row here is not a fighter who never missed weight.
The 25 cities Charles Oliveira has fought a UFC bout in. Every pin was looked up by name in OpenStreetMap’s gazetteer and stored with the answer it gave; nothing here is estimated.
Coastline: Natural Earth (public domain). Pins: © OpenStreetMap contributors, ODbL. Every host city and camp on one map.
Fights that have never been made, between fighters who are ranked right now. Our read on each one is on its own page, with no betting market behind it — because there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. None of it is a pick, and none of it is graded.