This Saturday Buckley vs Malott · Rogers Place Edmonton AB Canada See this week's picks →
Picks · Volkanovski vs Evloev ·

Nikita Krylov vs Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev prediction

Light Heavyweight · Volkanovski vs Evloev · 24 Oct 2026
UFC 12-10 · Pro 31-12
VS
UFC 3-0 · Pro 10-0

Prediction

early read
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev 65%
35%65%
as of 11 Oct 2026, 09:03 UTC

By the numbers

  • Age

    Yakhyaev is 8 years younger. With an age gap of 8 to 9 years, the younger fighter wins 65% of UFC fights (413 of 634 fights).

  • Finishers

    Both fighters finish: at least two thirds of their UFC wins ended inside the distance. When two finishers meet, 64% of UFC fights end inside the distance (354 of 550 fights). Across every UFC fight it is 53%.

  • Win streaks

    Yakhyaev comes in on a 3-fight UFC winning run. A fighter on a run of 3 against an opponent on a shorter one wins 56% of the time (435 of 773 fights).

Counted from every UFC fight on record before this bout. These are history, not our model’s read.

Tale of the tape

The facts, side by side — Nikita Krylov vs Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev.

Red corner NikitaKrylov“The Miner”Raty Team · Born in Krasnyi Luch, Luhansk, Ukraine · Fights out of Kislovodsk, Russia
VSUpcoming
Blue corner Abdul RakhmanYakhyaevNuremberg MMA · From Turkey
Light HeavyweightPicks published · graded in public after the card
The story
  • Has finished 10 of 12 UFC wins.
  • Unbeaten — 3-0 in the UFC.
  • 22 UFC bouts deep — 19 more than Yakhyaev.
  • Every one of Yakhyaev’s 3 UFC wins came inside the distance.
31-12
Record
10-0
34
Age
−9 yr25
+1″6' 3"
Height
6' 2"
77″
Reach
+1″78″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
+1922
UFC bouts
3
10/1283% of wins
Finishes
+17%3/3100% of wins
Raty Team
Gym
Nuremberg MMA
Kislovodsk, Russiafights out of
From
Turkey
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s.
All the vitals, as a table
UFC 12-10UFC recordUFC 3-0
31-12Pro record10-0
The MinerNickname—
6' 3"Height6' 2"
77"Reach78"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
34Age25
205 lbs.Weight205 lbs.
UkraineNationalityTurkey
Krasnyi Luch, Luhansk, UkraineBorn in—
Kislovodsk, RussiaFights out of—
Raty TeamCampNuremberg MMA
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Nikita KrylovAbdul Rakhman Yakhyaev
80
Striking
96
56
Defence
80
58
Grappling / TD
96
44
Cardio
n/a
60
Chin
74 limited sample
60
Fight IQ
86
Our read — derived, not official stats. Ranked within weight class.

Strike zones

Strike zones

Where they go — head to head

Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Nikita Krylov22 UFC fights · 689 landed

58.9%
HEAD
94.7%
24.8%
BODY
5.3%
16.3%
LEGS
0.0%

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev3 UFC fights · 19 landed

Limited sample

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Nikita Krylov

2.19takedowns / 15 min
2.19 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
11.11 / 15m
5.76 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
14.81 / 15m
38%
ACCURACY
75%
1.10 / 15m
SUB ATT
7.40 / 15m

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

11.11takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (6.25 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Light Heavyweight

Stats comparison

Nikita Krylov (left) vs Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev (right) — career striking & grappling rates.

Strikes landed / min
4.38
vs
8.64
Striking accuracy
54%
vs
68%
Strikes absorbed / min
2.75
vs
2.22
Striking defence
48%
vs
59%
Takedowns / 15 min
2.19
vs
11.11
Takedown accuracy
38%
vs
75%
Takedown defence
53%
vs
100%
Sub attempts / 15 min
1.1
vs
7.4
Career averages from public UFC statistics.

Bios

Who these two are — reported newsroom prose where we have it, our own data-built profile where we don’t. Each is labelled.

Nikita KrylovFightIQ profileSubmission grappler

6' 3" orthodox submission grappler campaigning at Light Heavyweight. 12 UFC wins — 5 KO/TKO, 5 submission, 2 decision.

Built from Nikita Krylov’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →
Abdul Rakhman YakhyaevFightIQ profileWrestler

6' 2" orthodox wrestler campaigning at Light Heavyweight. 3 UFC wins — 1 KO/TKO, 2 submission.

Built from Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →

Go deeper

Elsewhere on the card

← Back to the picks