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Abus Magomedov vs Cam Rowston prediction

Middleweight · Volkanovski vs Evloev · 24 Oct 2026
UFC 5-3 · Pro 29-7-1
VS
UFC 3-0 · Pro 15-3

Prediction

early read
Cam Rowston 63%
37%63%
as of 11 Oct 2026, 09:03 UTC

By the numbers

  • Win streaks

    Rowston comes in on a 3-fight UFC winning run. A fighter on a run of 3 against an opponent on a shorter one wins 56% of the time (435 of 773 fights).

  • Age

    Rowston is 4 years younger. With an age gap of 4 to 5 years, the younger fighter wins 56% of UFC fights (929 of 1,653 fights).

Counted from every UFC fight on record before this bout. These are history, not our model’s read.

Tale of the tape

The facts, side by side — Abus Magomedov vs Cam Rowston.

Red corner AbusMagomedovUFD Gym · Hometown (per Sherdog): Argun
VSUpcoming
Blue corner CamRowston
MiddleweightPicks published · graded in public after the card
The story
  • Has finished 3 of 5 UFC wins.
  • Comes in on a 3-fight win streak.
  • 8 UFC bouts deep — 5 more than Rowston.
  • Has finished 2 of 3 UFC wins.
29-7-1
Record
15-3
36
Age
−5 yr31
6' 2"
Height
+1″6' 3"
78″
Reach
78″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
+58
UFC bouts
3
3/560% of wins
Finishes
+7%2/367% of wins
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s.
All the vitals, as a table
UFC 5-3UFC recordUFC 3-0
29-7-1Pro record15-3
6' 2"Height6' 3"
78"Reach78"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
36Age31
185 lbs.Weight185 lbs.
RussiaNationality—
ArgunHometown (per Sherdog)—
UFD GymCamp—
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Abus MagomedovCam Rowston
61
Striking
74
58
Defence
68
60
Grappling / TD
35
56
Cardio
69 limited sample
46
Chin
75 limited sample
56
Fight IQ
64
Our read — derived, not official stats. Ranked within weight class.

Strike zones

Strike zones

Where they go — head to head

Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Abus Magomedov8 UFC fights · 239 landed

56.4%
HEAD
79.7%
31.0%
BODY
9.5%
12.6%
LEGS
10.8%

Cam Rowston3 UFC fights · 148 landed

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Abus Magomedov

2.50takedowns / 15 min
2.50 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.34 / 15m
4.24 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
3.05 / 15m
59%
ACCURACY
44%
0.60 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.30 / 15m

Cam Rowston

1.34takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (6.86 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Middleweight

Stats comparison

Abus Magomedov (left) vs Cam Rowston (right) — career striking & grappling rates.

Strikes landed / min
3.06
vs
4.6
Striking accuracy
48%
vs
48%
Strikes absorbed / min
3.34
vs
2.12
Striking defence
56%
vs
52%
Takedowns / 15 min
2.5
vs
1.34
Takedown accuracy
59%
vs
44%
Takedown defence
100%
vs
33%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.6
vs
0.3
Career averages from public UFC statistics.

Bios

Who these two are — reported newsroom prose where we have it, our own data-built profile where we don’t. Each is labelled.

Abus MagomedovFightIQ profileGrappling-led all-rounder

6' 2" orthodox grappling-led all-rounder campaigning at Middleweight. 5 UFC wins — 1 KO/TKO, 2 submission, 2 decision.

Built from Abus Magomedov’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →
Cam RowstonFightIQ profileTechnical striker

6' 3" orthodox technical striker campaigning at Middleweight. 3 UFC wins — 2 KO/TKO, 1 decision.

Built from Cam Rowston’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →

Go deeper

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