Round 1⚡ 1 KD RileyEnded 3:03
43 of 67
Sig.
strikes
strikes
23 of 41
0 of 0
Take-
downs
downs
0 of 0
0:02
Control
0:00
1
Knock-
downs
downs
0
Distance 35Clinch 6Ground 2
Where it
happened
happened
Distance 23Clinch 0Ground 0
VSSettled
Blue corner
Kai KamakaIIIXtreme Couture · Born in Ewa Beach, Hawaii, United States · Fights out of Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
The story going in
- Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
- Carries 18 points more takedown defence than Riley.
- Lands 1.2 more significant strikes a minute than III.
14-0
Record
18-9-1
−4 yr27
Age
31
+2″5' 9"
Height
5' 7"
69″
Reach
69″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
2
UFC bouts
+35
1/250% of wins
Finishes
0/20% of wins
Next Generation MMA Liverpool
Gym
Xtreme Couture
Liverpool, Merseysidehometown, per Sherdog
From
Las Vegas, Nevada, United Statesfights out of
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.
The call vs the fight
What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.
Our call
Luke Riley
61.7% confidentLOW
The fight
Luke Riley
WIN✗
Graded against the official UFC result, from
the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict
is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads
as one. See the full public record →
Round by round
Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.
UFCStats · per round
1 round of tape
Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.
How it ended
This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.
Won inside the distance
Luke Riley
Round
1
Clock
3:03
Method
KO/TKO
This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Kerry Hatley.
Takedowns
Takedowns
The level change — head to head
Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.
Luke Riley
0.00 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.45 / 15m
n/a
ATTEMPTS
2.74 / 15m
n/a
ACCURACY
53%
0.00 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.20 / 15m
37%
TD DEFENCE
55%
Kai Kamaka III
Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (6.09 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.
Ranked in Featherweight
The market story
Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.
Luke Rileyclose only
no opening line on recordclose 69.2%
Kai Kamaka IIIclose only
no opening line on recordclose 30.8%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)
We hold the closing consensus for this bout but no opening line, so the strip marks the close alone: Luke Riley 69.2%, Kai Kamaka III 30.8%, vig removed.
Our published call had Luke Riley at 61.7%. At the closing consensus, the de-vigged market had the same fighter at 69.2% — our number sat 7.5pp below the market’s. Two numbers, side by side. How our calls have actually done is the public record, not one bout.
Show the numbers
| Corner | Open (US) | Close (US) | Open % | Close % | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Riley | -400 | -257 | — | 69.2% | — |
| Kai Kamaka III | — | 212 | — | 30.8% | — |
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-08-23 · BestFightOdds has no fighter page scraped for Kai Kamaka III, so that corner’s CLOSE is read from the opponent’s row, which names it explicitly. No opening line exists for that corner and none is shown.. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.