Matheus Camilo has two UFC fights, a second-round submission loss to Gabe Green and a unanimous decision over Viacheslav Borshchev in November. Nazim Sadykhov is 4-1 through six UFC appearances and was knocked out in the second round by Fares Ziam in December. Both men have shared a cage with Borshchev, and the results differ: Camilo won a decision, Sadykhov's went to a majority draw. The model splits this one almost exactly down the middle.
The read
At 51.3% this is the model's least confident read of the five, and there is not much record on either side to work from. Camilo's path is the one that produced his win over Borshchev, three rounds of steady work with nobody able to end it. Sadykhov's is faster, the kind of finish he found against Terrance McKinney, Ismael Bonfim and Nikolas Motta, four of his last five fights having ended inside the distance. The model still calls the decision, leaning on the single UFC win Camilo has and on how little else is on file.
What decides it
- Sadykhov's finishing rate against Camilo's one full-distance UFC win
- Sadykhov comes in off a second-round knockout loss in December
- Sadykhov's path is ending it early, as four of his last five UFC fights did
- Lightweight over three rounds with a two-fight UFC record on one side
- The tightest call on the card and the model's least confident pick