This Saturday Buckley vs Malott · Rogers Place Edmonton AB Canada See this week's picks →
Picks · Prochazka vs Stirling ·

Aleksandre Topuria vs Santiago Luna prediction

Bantamweight · Prochazka vs Stirling · 21 Nov 2026
UFC 2-0 · Pro 7-1
VS
UFC 2-1 · Pro 8-1

Prediction

early read
Santiago Luna 72%
28%72%
as of 11 Oct 2026, 09:03 UTC

By the numbers

  • Age

    Luna is 8 years younger. With an age gap of 8 to 9 years, the younger fighter wins 65% of UFC fights (413 of 634 fights).

Counted from every UFC fight on record before this bout. These are history, not our model’s read.

Tale of the tape

The facts, side by side — Aleksandre Topuria vs Santiago Luna.

Red corner AleksandreTopuriaTopuria Team · From Georgia
VSUpcoming
Blue corner SantiagoLunaEntram Gym · Born in San Diego, California, United States · Fights out of Tijuana, Baja California, Mexico
BantamweightPicks published · graded in public after the card
The story
  • Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
  • Lands 1.8 more significant strikes a minute than Topuria.
  • Carries 43 points more takedown defence than Luna.
7-1
Record
8-1
30
Age
−8 yr22
5' 7"
Height
+2″5' 9"
68″
Reach
+6″74″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
2
UFC bouts
+13
0/20% of wins
Finishes
1/250% of wins
Topuria Team
Gym
Entram Gym
Georgia
From
Tijuana, Baja California, Mexicofights out of
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s.
All the vitals, as a table
UFC 2-0UFC recordUFC 2-1
7-1Pro record8-1
5' 7"Height5' 9"
68"Reach74"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
30Age22
135 lbs.Weight135 lbs.
GeorgiaNationalityMexico
—Born inSan Diego, California, United States
—Fights out ofTijuana, Baja California, Mexico
Topuria TeamCampEntram Gym
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Aleksandre TopuriaSantiago Luna
70
Striking
87
86
Defence
82
45
Grappling / TD
73
40
Cardio
58
61 limited sample
Chin
64 limited sample
60
Fight IQ
73
Our read — derived, not official stats. Ranked within weight class.

Strike zones

Strike zones

Where they go — head to head

Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Aleksandre Topuria2 UFC fights · 88 landed

Limited sample
71.6%
HEAD
73.5%
22.7%
BODY
22.6%
5.7%
LEGS
3.9%

Santiago Luna3 UFC fights · 155 landed

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Aleksandre Topuria

1.50takedowns / 15 min
1.50 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
2.30 / 15m
4.55 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
3.24 / 15m
33%
ACCURACY
71%
0.00 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.90 / 15m

Santiago Luna

2.30takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.50 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Bantamweight

Stats comparison

Aleksandre Topuria (left) vs Santiago Luna (right) — career striking & grappling rates.

Strikes landed / min
2.93
vs
4.74
Striking accuracy
55%
vs
53%
Strikes absorbed / min
2.57
vs
2.76
Striking defence
68%
vs
67%
Takedowns / 15 min
1.5
vs
2.3
Takedown accuracy
33%
vs
71%
Takedown defence
100%
vs
57%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0
vs
0.9
Career averages from public UFC statistics.

Bios

Who these two are — reported newsroom prose where we have it, our own data-built profile where we don’t. Each is labelled.

Aleksandre TopuriaFightIQ profileAll-rounder

5' 7" orthodox all-rounder campaigning at Bantamweight. 2 UFC wins — 2 decision.

Built from Aleksandre Topuria’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →
Santiago LunaFightIQ profileAll-rounder

5' 9" orthodox all-rounder campaigning at Bantamweight. 2 UFC wins — 1 KO/TKO, 1 decision.

Built from Santiago Luna’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →

Go deeper

Elsewhere on the card

← Back to the picks