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Lucia Szabova vs Tainara Lisboa

Women's Flyweight · Moicano vs Nolan · 31 Oct 2026
No model read. FightIQ publishes no prediction for this bout. The reason and the tale of the tape are below.
LS
Pro 12-0
VS
UFC 2-2 · Pro 7-4
FightIQ’s read

No model read. One of these fighters has no UFC fight on record yet, so there is no career for our model to read and we publish no prediction.

There is no confidence rating and no method or round read on this page, because we published no model read for this bout.

Prediction

We publish nothing for this bout — no winner, no method read, no round distribution. The reason is below, not a number.

No model read — One of these fighters has no UFC fight on record yet, so there is no career for our model to read and we publish no prediction.

By the numbers

  • UFC debut

    Szabova’s UFC debut, against a fighter with 4 UFC fights. Debutants facing an opponent with 4 to 9 UFC fights win 41% of the time (215 of 525 fights).

  • Age

    Szabova is 6 years younger. With an age gap of 6 to 7 years, the younger fighter wins 60% of UFC fights (637 of 1,058 fights).

Counted from every UFC fight on record before this bout. These are history, not our model’s read.

Tale of the tape

The facts, side by side — Lucia Szabova vs Tainara Lisboa.

LS
Red corner LuciaSzabovaHanuman Gym Bratislava · Hometown (per Sherdog): Bratislava
VSUpcoming
Blue corner TainaraLisboa“Thai Panther”
Women's FlyweightPicks published · graded in public after the card
The story
  • Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
  • Carries 45 points more striking defence than Szabova.
12-0
Record
7-4
−7 yr28
Age
35
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s.
All the vitals, as a table
—UFC recordUFC 2-2
12-0Pro record7-4
—NicknameThai Panther
—Height5' 7"
—Reach67"
—StanceOrthodox
28Age35
135 lbs.Weight135 lbs.
SlovakiaNationality—
BratislavaHometown (per Sherdog)—
Hanuman Gym BratislavaCamp—
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Lucia SzabovaTainara Lisboa
n/a
Striking
30
n/a
Defence
48
n/a
Grappling / TD
44
n/a
Cardio
11
n/a
Chin
16
n/a
Fight IQ
30
Our read — derived, not official stats. Ranked within weight class.

Strike zones

Strike zones

Tainara Lisboa

Where the strikes go — and where they land on her. Career UFC totals, straight off the tape.

HEAD60.2%ACC 35%BODY35.2%ACC 78%LEGS4.6%FIELD 16%
FightIQ read Body puncher 35.2% of her landed strikes go to the body — +14.4 on the field average.
Share by zonevs field average
HEAD
60.2% acc 35%−2.8 vs field
BODY
35.2% acc 78%+14.4 vs field
LEGS
4.6%−11.7 vs field
Where the offence happens
DISTANCE 60%CLINCH 38%GROUND 2%

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.

4 UFC fights · 108 landed

Takedowns

Takedowns

Tainara Lisboa

The level change — how often it lands, how often it is stopped. Career UFC rates, straight off the tape.

1.67takedowns / 15 min
FightIQ read Takedowns in the mix 1.67 landed per 15 minutes — −0.53 on the field average — a real part of the arsenal, not the whole of it.
Career ratesvs field average
TAKEDOWNS50
1.67 / 15m−0.53 vs field
ATTEMPTS61
5.39 / 15m+0.04 vs field
ACCURACY29
31%−14pp vs field
SUB ATT20
0.30 / 15m−1.02 vs field

Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.50 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.

Ranked roster-wide

Stats comparison

Lucia Szabova (left) vs Tainara Lisboa (right) — career striking & grappling rates.

Strikes landed / min
0
vs
2.01
Striking accuracy
0%
vs
44%
Strikes absorbed / min
0
vs
2.88
Striking defence
0%
vs
45%
Takedowns / 15 min
0
vs
1.67
Takedown accuracy
0%
vs
31%
Takedown defence
0%
vs
53%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0
vs
0.3
Career averages from public UFC statistics.

Bios

Who these two are — reported newsroom prose where we have it, our own data-built profile where we don’t. Each is labelled.

Lucia SzabovaFightIQ profileAll-rounder

-- all-rounder campaigning at Bantamweight.

Built from Lucia Szabova’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →
Tainara LisboaFightIQ profileAll-rounder

5' 7" orthodox all-rounder campaigning at Women's Bantamweight. 2 UFC wins — 1 submission, 1 decision.

Built from Tainara Lisboa’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →

Go deeper

Elsewhere on the card

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