Marquel Mederos is unbeaten in the UFC at 3-0-1, and all three wins came by decision, over Landon Quinones, Austin Hubbard and Mark Choinski. Mason Jones is 4-2 in seven UFC lightweight fights and has won three straight, over Jeremy Stephens, Bolaji Oki and Axel Sola. The model has Jones, on the strength of the longer record and the more recent run.
The read
The read is depth of record. Jones has faced a wider spread of opposition and his last four appearances produced three wins, including a second-round knockout of Oki. Mederos's path is the one that has worked every time so far, controlling rounds and banking a decision, and none of his UFC fights has ended early. Most likely method is decision, which suits both men, so the question is who decides where the rounds get spent.
What decides it
- Lightweight, three rounds, decision the likely method
- Jones on a three-fight UFC win streak
- Mederos 3-0-1 in the UFC with every bout going the distance
- Jones's second-round KO of Bolaji Oki his only recent finish
- Mederos's path is controlling the rounds he has always controlled