Jackson McVey is 1-2 in three UFC middleweight bouts, with both losses by submission and his win a first-round submission of Sedriques Dumas in April 2026. Wes Schultz is 1-1, knocked out in the first round by Damian Pinas in February 2026 and back two months later with a third-round submission of Ben Johnston. Two middleweights with thin UFC records and a grappling finish apiece.
The read
This is coin-flip territory and the model is separating them by the thinnest margin. McVey's path is the front-foot pressure that got him the Dumas finish before Dumas could settle. Schultz's path is durability past the opening round, because his one bad night came inside five minutes and his one good one needed 15. Most likely method is knockout or TKO, which fits a matchup where both men have already been finished inside the distance in the UFC.
What decides it
- Middleweight, three rounds
- Both fighters finished inside the distance in a UFC loss
- McVey's first-round submission of Sedriques Dumas the model's positive read
- Schultz's first-round KO loss the clearest question mark
- Close read, near coin-flip