Carli Judice is 3-1 in four UFC flyweight bouts and has won three straight since a split-decision loss to Gabriella Fernandes, knocking out Yuneisy Duben in a round and Nicolle Caliari in the third before a decision over Juliana Miller. Jeisla Chaves has one UFC fight, a split-decision win over Duben in June 2026. The model has Judice HIGH.
The read
The common opponent does most of the work here. Judice knocked Duben out in the first round; Chaves needed 15 minutes and two of the three judges to beat the same fighter. Judice's path is her finishing rate, two stoppages in three wins, while Chaves's path is the durability that carried her through a hard three rounds on debut. Most likely method is decision, so the read is that Judice wins the exchanges over a full fight without needing to end it early.
What decides it
- HIGH tier
- Shared opponent: Judice KO'd Yuneisy Duben, Chaves beat her on a split decision
- Judice on a three-fight UFC win streak
- Chaves 1-0, her only UFC appearance going the distance
- Women's flyweight, three rounds, decision the likely method