Dusko Todorovic is 4-6 over 10 UFC fights, stopped in round one twice in his last five and coming off a first-round submission of Jose Daniel Medina in September 2025. Robert Valentin is 1-3, three straight losses before he submitted Julien Leblanc in the first round in April 2026.
The read
The records explain how close this sits. Both men carry more UFC losses than wins and both arrive off a first-round submission win. Todorovic's path is the extra six fights of octagon time and the power that stopped Jordan Wright in 2022. Valentin's path is the one that ended his skid, getting the fight to the mat early before the rounds start counting against him. The tell is that four of Todorovic's last five ended inside the distance, so neither man should plan on the judges.
What decides it
- Both fighters carry losing UFC records into the bout
- Both are coming off first-round submission wins
- Todorovic has 10 UFC fights to Valentin's four
- Four of Todorovic's last five ended inside the distance
- 52.7%, one of the tightest reads on the card