vs Tahir Abdullayev · Prochazka vs Stirling · 21 Nov 2026. FightIQ’s early read: Jake Matthews (56%).
Jake Matthews vs Tahir Abdullayev prediction →Built from Jake Matthews’s own numbers — record, form, fighting style and standout rate. Not reported prose. All-rounder
5' 11" orthodox all-rounder campaigning at Welterweight. 16 UFC wins — 2 KO/TKO, 6 submission, 8 decision. Top 18% of Welterweights: avoids 60% of the strikes thrown at him.
The facts, plainly — vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. A field we can't source stays “pending”; it never shows a fake value. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The social accounts are the ones linked from the fighter’s own official athlete page — we don’t match handles by name. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves, and is dated by the first and last bout it counts.
| Nickname | The Celtic Kid |
| Nationality | Australia |
| Born in | Melbourne, Victoria, Australia Wikipedia |
| Fights out of | Epping, Victoria, Australia Wikipedia |
| Camp | Nexus |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Reach | 73" |
| Stance | Orthodox |
| Age | 32 |
| Date of birth | Aug 19, 1994 |
| Weight | 170 lbs. |
| Pro record | 23-8 |
| UFC record | UFC 16-8 first fight 2014-06-28 · last fight 2026-05-30 |
| Finish split | 16 UFC wins — 2 KO/TKO, 6 submission, 8 decision |
| Social |
Career averages over Jake Matthews’s UFC bouts, straight from public UFC statistics — the same eight numbers on his official record. These are the source’s figures, not our read: what we make of them is the card below.
Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the Welterweight field — not against the whole roster. Tap any i for what a score measures.
Every fight of Jake Matthews’s that we called in the live 2026 season — whichever corner we called it for. Posted before the fight, graded after it.
FightIQ has called 1 of Jake Matthews’s fights in 2026: 1 correct (1–0 — 100% right). Each call was posted before the fight and graded after it. The confidence % is the number we stood behind at the time — losses shown, toss-ups included.
| Date | Opponent | We called it for | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Carlston Harris | Jake Matthews | 74.3% | Correct |
Across our full back-tested history we called 6 of Jake Matthews’s fights, 5 correct. Back-tested, not part of the public timestamped record: these were computed after the fact, so they show the model working on old cards — they were never published ahead of those fights.
Where the strikes go — and where they land on him. Career UFC totals, straight off the tape.
Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.
The level change — how often it lands, how often it is stopped. Career UFC rates, straight off the tape.
Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.27 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.
Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.
Pro record: 23-8. In the UFC: 16-8. Jake Matthews’s last 8 UFC bouts, most recent first — the result in the cage, not our pick.
Straight off the official UFC fight record. Card names are left off on purpose: the only event labels in our data are derived, and we’d rather print nothing than print one that’s wrong.
2 post-fight bonuses since the UFC’s bonus programme began in 2006 — 2 Fight of the Night.
| Date | Award | Opponent | Event | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-02-10 | FOTN | Fight of the Night | Li Jingliang | UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold |
| 2016-03-19 | FOTN | Fight of the Night | Johnny Case | UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir |
The UFC's post-fight bonus programme began in 2006, so every total here is a career total since 2006. A fighter who fought only before then has no bonuses because the award did not exist yet. Fight of the Night is a shared award and is credited to both fighters. Performance, Knockout and Submission of the Night are individual awards, credited to the fighter the official record names.
Awards whose recipient the official list does not name are credited to nobody, so these counts are a floor: 245 of 1,339 Performance of the Night and 1 of 180 Submission of the Night awards are unassigned as of 11 October 2026.
| Date | Opponent | Method | Rd | Event | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | W | Carlston Harris | Decision (unanimous) | R3 | UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo |
| 2025-09-27 | L | Neil Magny | Submission | R3 | UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes |
| 2025-07-12 | W | Chidi Njokuani | Submission | R1 | UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira |
| 2025-02-08 | W | Francisco Prado | Decision (unanimous) | R3 | UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 |
| 2024-06-01 | W | Phil Rowe | Decision (unanimous) | R3 | UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier |
| 2023-11-18 | L | Michael Morales | Decision (unanimous) | R3 | UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
| 2023-07-29 | W | Darrius Flowers | Submission | R2 | UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 |
| 2022-12-17 | L | Matthew Semelsberger | Decision (unanimous) | R3 | UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland |
| 2022-06-11 | W | Andre Fialho | KO/TKO | R2 | UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka |
| 2021-03-06 | L | Sean Brady | Submission | R3 | UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya |
| 2020-09-26 | W | Diego Sanchez | Decision (unanimous) | R3 | UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa |
| 2020-02-22 | W | Emil Meek | Decision (unanimous) | R3 | UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker |
| 2019-10-05 | W | Rostem Akman | Decision (unanimous) | R3 | UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya |
| 2018-12-01 | L | Anthony Rocco Martin | Submission | R3 | UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa |
| 2018-06-23 | W | Shinsho Anzai | Submission | R1 | UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards |
| 2018-02-10 | W | Li Jingliang | Decision (unanimous) | R3 | UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold |
| 2017-11-18 | W | Bojan Velickovic | Decision (split) | R3 | UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura |
| 2016-11-26 | L | Andrew Holbrook | Decision (split) | R3 | UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson |
| 2016-07-08 | L | Kevin Lee | KO/TKO | R1 | The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale |
| 2016-03-19 | W | Johnny Case | Submission | R3 | UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir |
| 2015-11-14 | W | Akbarh Arreola | TKO (doctor) | R2 | UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm |
| 2015-05-09 | L | James Vick | Submission | R1 | UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt |
| 2014-11-07 | W | Vagner Rocha | Submission | R2 | UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping |
| 2014-06-28 | W | Dashon Johnson | Submission | R3 | — |
Every date links to that bout’s own page. Card names come from the official event record; where the UFC ran two cards on one date, or that record has no row for it, the Event column is left empty rather than filled with a guess.
Jake Matthews’s official weigh-in — the weight the commission read off the scale, and the limit it had to be under.
| Date | Opponent | Weight / limit | Division | Source | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Carlston Harris | 170 / 171 | MADE | Welterweight | UFC.com |
Weigh-in results cover the 31 UFC cards held in 2026 so far — 24 January 2026 to 12 September 2026. Earlier years are not on file yet, so a fighter with no row here is not a fighter who never missed weight.
The 13 cities Jake Matthews has fought a UFC bout in. Every pin was looked up by name in OpenStreetMap’s gazetteer and stored with the answer it gave; nothing here is estimated.
Coastline: Natural Earth (public domain). Pins: © OpenStreetMap contributors, ODbL. Every host city and camp on one map.
