vs Randy Brown · Moicano vs Nolan · 31 Oct 2026. FightIQ’s early read: Randy Brown (56%).
Randy Brown vs Carlos Leal prediction →Built from Carlos Leal’s own numbers — record, form, fighting style and standout rate. Not reported prose. Volume boxer
5' 11" orthodox volume boxer campaigning at Welterweight. 2 UFC wins — 1 KO/TKO, 1 decision. Top 2% of Welterweights: lands 8.75 significant strikes a minute and stuffs 90% of the takedowns tried on him.
The facts, plainly — vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. A field we can't source stays “pending”; it never shows a fake value. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The social accounts are the ones linked from the fighter’s own official athlete page — we don’t match handles by name. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves, and is dated by the first and last bout it counts.
| Nickname | The Lion |
| Nationality | Brazil |
| Hometown (per Sherdog) | Curitiba, Parana |
| Camp | Thai Brasil |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Reach | 74" |
| Stance | Orthodox |
| Age | 32 |
| Date of birth | May 04, 1994 |
| Weight | 170 lbs. |
| Pro record | 23-7 |
| UFC record | UFC 2-2 first fight 2024-10-26 · last fight 2026-02-21 |
| Finish split | 2 UFC wins — 1 KO/TKO, 1 decision |
| Social |
Career averages over Carlos Leal’s UFC bouts, straight from public UFC statistics — the same eight numbers on his official record. These are the source’s figures, not our read: what we make of them is the card below.
Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the Welterweight field — not against the whole roster. Tap any i for what a score measures.
Every fight of Carlos Leal’s that we called in the live 2026 season — whichever corner we called it for. Posted before the fight, graded after it.
FightIQ has called 1 of Carlos Leal’s fights in 2026: 1 correct (1–0 — 100% right). Each call was posted before the fight and graded after it. The confidence % is the number we stood behind at the time — losses shown, toss-ups included.
| Date | Opponent | We called it for | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Chidi Njokuani | Carlos Leal | 54.6% | Correct |
Across our full back-tested history we called 3 of Carlos Leal’s fights, 3 correct. Back-tested, not part of the public timestamped record: these were computed after the fact, so they show the model working on old cards — they were never published ahead of those fights.
Where the strikes go — and where they land on him. Career UFC totals, straight off the tape.
Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.
The level change — how often it lands, how often it is stopped. Career UFC rates, straight off the tape.
Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.27 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.
Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.
Pro record: 23-7. In the UFC: 2-2. Carlos Leal’s last 4 UFC bouts, most recent first — the result in the cage, not our pick.
Straight off the official UFC fight record. Card names are left off on purpose: the only event labels in our data are derived, and we’d rather print nothing than print one that’s wrong.
| Date | Opponent | Method | Rd | Event | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | W | Chidi Njokuani | Decision (unanimous) | R3 | UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez |
| 2025-07-26 | L | Muslim Salikhov | KO/TKO | R1 | UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder |
| 2025-03-08 | W | Alex Morono | KO/TKO | R1 | UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev |
| 2024-10-26 | L | Rinat Fakhretdinov | Decision (unanimous) | R3 | UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway |
Every date links to that bout’s own page. Card names come from the official event record; where the UFC ran two cards on one date, or that record has no row for it, the Event column is left empty rather than filled with a guess.
Carlos Leal’s official weigh-in — the weight the commission read off the scale, and the limit it had to be under.
| Date | Opponent | Weight / limit | Division | Source | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Chidi Njokuani | 170 / 171 | MADE | Welterweight | UFC.com |
Weigh-in results cover the 31 UFC cards held in 2026 so far — 24 January 2026 to 12 September 2026. Earlier years are not on file yet, so a fighter with no row here is not a fighter who never missed weight.
The 3 cities Carlos Leal has fought a UFC bout in and the hometown on the record. Every pin was looked up by name in OpenStreetMap’s gazetteer and stored with the answer it gave; nothing here is estimated.
Coastline: Natural Earth (public domain). Pins: © OpenStreetMap contributors, ODbL. Every host city and camp on one map.
