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Fantasy matchup

Valentina Shevchenko vs Erin BlanchfieldFantasy matchup — not a booked fight

#1 at Women's Flyweight · #4 at Women's Flyweight
Not a booked fightFANTASY MATCHUP — this fight is not booked. What our two blind models would say if it were.
UFC 15-3 (1 draw/NC) · Pro 26-4-1
#1 at Women's Flyweight
VS
UFC 8-1 · Pro 14-2
#4 at Women's Flyweight

If they fought

A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.

Valentina Shevchenko 54% Erin Blanchfield 46%

Run as an unbooked fight, this one splits our two reads — they do not name the same winner, so there is no lean here to give you.

Our two reads disagree. One leans Valentina Shevchenko at 54%; the other leans Erin Blanchfield at 54%. When they split like this there is no read worth having — treat it as a coin toss.

The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 57%.

KO/TKO
18%
Submission
12%
Decision
70%
These figures come from the same statistical reads we run on real cards, with the betting market removed — there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. Nothing here is timestamped against a result, nothing here is graded, and none of it counts towards our public record. It is a thought experiment with real numbers behind it.

Tale of the tape

Valentina Shevchenko vs Erin Blanchfield — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 15-3 (1 draw/NC)UFC recordUFC 8-1
26-4-1Pro record14-2
BulletNicknameCold Blooded
5' 5"Height5' 4"
66"Reach66"
SouthpawStanceOrthodox
38Age27
125 lbs.Weight125 lbs.
KyrgyzstanNationalityUnited States
Frunze, Kirghiz SSR, Soviet UnionBorn inNew York City, New York, United States
Bishkek, KyrgyzstanFights out ofElmwood Park, New Jersey, United States
Tiger Muay ThaiCampRenzo Gracie Jiu-Jitsu
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

Stat-by-stat

Valentina Shevchenko (left) vs Erin Blanchfield (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
3.04
vs
5.24
Striking accuracy
52%
vs
44%
Strikes absorbed / min
2
vs
4.25
Striking defence
63%
vs
58%
Takedowns / 15 min
2.65
vs
1.96
Takedown accuracy
61%
vs
34%
Takedown defence
76%
vs
78%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.3
vs
0.9
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Fights that have happened between them

None.

Valentina Shevchenko and Erin Blanchfield have never met in the UFC.

Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.

The real fighters

Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.

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