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Fantasy matchup

Tom Aspinall vs Josh HokitFantasy matchup — not a booked fight

#1 at Heavyweight · #4 at Heavyweight
Not a booked fightFANTASY MATCHUP — this fight is not booked. What our two blind models would say if it were.
Tom Aspinall
UFC 8-1 (1 draw/NC) · Pro 15-3
#1 at Heavyweight
VS
Josh Hokit
UFC 4-0 · Pro 10-0
#4 at Heavyweight

If they fought

A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.

Tom Aspinall 62% Josh Hokit 38%

Run as an unbooked fight, the numbers favour Tom Aspinall at 62% — a lean, not a conviction.

Our two reads agree, and closely. Both land on Tom Aspinall — 62% on the first, 55% on the second, 7 points apart.

The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 40%.

KO/TKO
73%
Submission
9%
Decision
18%
These figures come from the same statistical reads we run on real cards, with the betting market removed — there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. Nothing here is timestamped against a result, nothing here is graded, and none of it counts towards our public record. It is a thought experiment with real numbers behind it.

Tale of the tape

Tom Aspinall vs Josh Hokit — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 8-1 (1 draw/NC)UFC recordUFC 4-0
15-3Pro record10-0
6' 5"Height6' 1"
78"▲Reach73"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
33Age28
255 lbs.Weight235 lbs.
EnglandNationalityUnited States
Salford, Greater Manchester, EnglandBorn inBakersfield, California, United States
Salford, Lancashire, EnglandFights out ofClovis, California, United States
Aspinall BJJCampJackson-Wink MMA
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

Stat-by-stat

Tom Aspinall (left) vs Josh Hokit (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
7.63
vs
9.29
Striking accuracy
67%
vs
64%
Strikes absorbed / min
3.62
vs
5.28
Striking defence
56%
vs
48%
Takedowns / 15 min
2.62
vs
3.73
Takedown accuracy
80%
vs
47%
Takedown defence
100%
vs
77%
Sub attempts / 15 min
1.3
vs
0.4
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Fights that have happened between them

None.

Tom Aspinall and Josh Hokit have never met in the UFC.

Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.

The real fighters

Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.

Tom Aspinall — record, tape and career → Josh Hokit — record, tape and career → This week's real card →
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