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Fantasy matchup

Tatsuro Taira vs Kyoji HoriguchiFantasy matchup — not a booked fight

#4 at Flyweight · #5 at Flyweight
Not a booked fightFANTASY MATCHUP — this fight is not booked. What our two blind models would say if it were.
Tatsuro Taira
UFC 8-2 · Pro 18-2
#4 at Flyweight
VS
Kyoji Horiguchi
UFC 9-2 · Pro 36-6
#5 at Flyweight

If they fought

A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.

Tatsuro Taira 65% Kyoji Horiguchi 35%

Run as an unbooked fight, the numbers favour Tatsuro Taira at 65% — a clear lean.

Our two reads agree, and closely. Both land on Tatsuro Taira — 65% on the first, 64% on the second, 1 point apart.

The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 58%.

KO/TKO
22%
Submission
21%
Decision
58%
These figures come from the same statistical reads we run on real cards, with the betting market removed — there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. Nothing here is timestamped against a result, nothing here is graded, and none of it counts towards our public record. It is a thought experiment with real numbers behind it.

Tale of the tape

Tatsuro Taira vs Kyoji Horiguchi — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 8-2UFC recordUFC 9-2
18-2Pro record36-6
5' 7"Height5' 4"
70"▲Reach63"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
26Age35
125 lbs.Weight125 lbs.
JapanNationalityJapan
Naha, Okinawa, JapanBorn inTakasaki, Gunma, Japan
Naha, Okinawa, JapanFights out ofCoconut Creek, Florida, United States
The Blackbelt JapanCampAmerican Top Team
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

Stat-by-stat

Tatsuro Taira (left) vs Kyoji Horiguchi (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
2.87
vs
3.64
Striking accuracy
54%
vs
47%
Strikes absorbed / min
3.1
vs
2.08
Striking defence
44%
vs
64%
Takedowns / 15 min
3.57
vs
1.67
Takedown accuracy
43%
vs
40%
Takedown defence
46%
vs
61%
Sub attempts / 15 min
1.3
vs
0.1
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Fights that have happened between them

None.

Tatsuro Taira and Kyoji Horiguchi have never met in the UFC.

Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.

The real fighters

Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.

Tatsuro Taira — record, tape and career → Kyoji Horiguchi — record, tape and career → This week's real card →
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