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Fantasy matchup

Michael Morales vs Jack Della MaddalenaFantasy matchup — not a booked fight

#3 at Welterweight · #4 at Welterweight
Not a booked fightFANTASY MATCHUP — this fight is not booked. What our two blind models would say if it were.
UFC 7-0 · Pro 19-0
#3 at Welterweight
VS
UFC 8-2 · Pro 18-4
#4 at Welterweight

If they fought

A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.

Michael Morales 78% Jack Della Maddalena 22%

Run as an unbooked fight, the numbers favour Michael Morales at 78% — the widest kind of gap these reads produce.

Our two reads agree on the winner but not on the margin. Both name Michael Morales — 78% on the first, 66% on the second, a gap of 12 points. The wider that gap, the less settled the read.

The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 43%.

KO/TKO
50%
Submission
9%
Decision
41%
These figures come from the same statistical reads we run on real cards, with the betting market removed — there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. Nothing here is timestamped against a result, nothing here is graded, and none of it counts towards our public record. It is a thought experiment with real numbers behind it.

Tale of the tape

Michael Morales vs Jack Della Maddalena — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 7-0UFC recordUFC 8-2
19-0Pro record18-4
6' 0"Height5' 11"
79"▲Reach73"
OrthodoxStanceSwitch
27Age30
170 lbs.Weight170 lbs.
EcuadorNationalityAustralia
Pasaje, El Oro, EcuadorBorn inPerth, Western Australia, Australia
Tijuana, Baja California, MexicoFights out ofPerth, Western Australia, Australia
Entram GymCampScrappy MMA
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

Stat-by-stat

Michael Morales (left) vs Jack Della Maddalena (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
5.68
vs
5.32
Striking accuracy
49%
vs
51%
Strikes absorbed / min
3.26
vs
4.24
Striking defence
53%
vs
61%
Takedowns / 15 min
1.04
vs
0.34
Takedown accuracy
41%
vs
20%
Takedown defence
89%
vs
64%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0
vs
0.1
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Fights that have happened between them

None.

Michael Morales and Jack Della Maddalena have never met in the UFC.

Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.

The real fighters

Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.

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