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Compare · Fantasy matchups · Khamzat Chimaev vs Caio Borralho
Fantasy matchup

Khamzat Chimaev vs Caio BorralhoFantasy matchup — not a booked fight

#1 at Middleweight · #5 at Middleweight
Not a booked fightFANTASY MATCHUP — this fight is not booked. What our two blind models would say if it were.
Khamzat Chimaev
UFC 9-1 · Pro 15-1
#1 at Middleweight
VS
Caio Borralho
UFC 8-1 · Pro 18-2
#5 at Middleweight

If they fought

A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.

Khamzat Chimaev 75% Caio Borralho 25%

Run as an unbooked fight, the numbers favour Khamzat Chimaev at 75% — a clear lean.

Our two reads agree, and closely. Both land on Khamzat Chimaev — 75% on the first, 76% on the second, 1 point apart.

The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 49%.

KO/TKO
21%
Submission
29%
Decision
50%
These figures come from the same statistical reads we run on real cards, with the betting market removed — there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. Nothing here is timestamped against a result, nothing here is graded, and none of it counts towards our public record. It is a thought experiment with real numbers behind it.

Tale of the tape

Khamzat Chimaev vs Caio Borralho — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 9-1UFC recordUFC 8-1
15-1Pro record18-2
BorzNicknameThe Natural
6' 2"Height6' 1"
75"Reach75"
OrthodoxStanceSouthpaw
32Age33
185 lbs.Weight185 lbs.
United Arab EmiratesNationalityBrazil
Gvardeyskoye, Chechen Republic, RussiaBorn inSão Luís, Maranhão, Brazil
Dubai, United Arab EmiratesFights out ofSão Paulo, Brazil
Allstars Training CenterCampThe Fighting Nerds
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

Stat-by-stat

Khamzat Chimaev (left) vs Caio Borralho (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
4.01
vs
3.47
Striking accuracy
54%
vs
56%
Strikes absorbed / min
2.98
vs
2.61
Striking defence
52%
vs
60%
Takedowns / 15 min
5.32
vs
1.25
Takedown accuracy
58%
vs
50%
Takedown defence
87%
vs
76%
Sub attempts / 15 min
1.4
vs
0.4
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Fights that have happened between them

None.

Khamzat Chimaev and Caio Borralho have never met in the UFC.

Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.

The real fighters

Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.

Khamzat Chimaev — record, tape and career → Caio Borralho — record, tape and career → This week's real card →
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