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Fantasy matchup

Dricus Du Plessis vs Brendan AllenFantasy matchup — not a booked fight

#2 at Middleweight · #4 at Middleweight
Not a booked fightFANTASY MATCHUP — this fight is not booked. What our two blind models would say if it were.
Dricus Du Plessis
UFC 10-1 · Pro 24-3
#2 at Middleweight
VS
Brendan Allen
UFC 15-4 · Pro 28-7
#4 at Middleweight

If they fought

A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.

Dricus Du Plessis 67% Brendan Allen 33%

Run as an unbooked fight, the numbers favour Dricus Du Plessis at 67% — a clear lean.

Our two reads agree, and closely. Both land on Dricus Du Plessis — 67% on the first, 57% on the second, 10 points apart.

The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 49%.

KO/TKO
28%
Submission
15%
Decision
57%
These figures come from the same statistical reads we run on real cards, with the betting market removed — there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. Nothing here is timestamped against a result, nothing here is graded, and none of it counts towards our public record. It is a thought experiment with real numbers behind it.

Tale of the tape

Dricus Du Plessis vs Brendan Allen — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 10-1UFC recordUFC 15-4
24-3Pro record28-7
StillknocksNicknameAll In
6' 1"Height6' 2"
76"▲Reach75"
SwitchStanceOrthodox
32Age30
185 lbs.Weight185 lbs.
South AfricaNationalityUnited States
Welkom, Orange Free State, South AfricaBorn inBeaufort, South Carolina, United States
Hatfield, Pretoria, Gauteng, South AfricaFights out ofDelray Beach, Florida, United States
Team CITCampKill Cliff FC
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

Stat-by-stat

Dricus Du Plessis (left) vs Brendan Allen (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
5.21
vs
3.75
Striking accuracy
48%
vs
52%
Strikes absorbed / min
4.24
vs
3.78
Striking defence
54%
vs
47%
Takedowns / 15 min
1.9
vs
1.52
Takedown accuracy
48%
vs
41%
Takedown defence
50%
vs
57%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.6
vs
1.1
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Fights that have happened between them

None.

Dricus Du Plessis and Brendan Allen have never met in the UFC.

Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.

The real fighters

Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.

Dricus Du Plessis — record, tape and career → Brendan Allen — record, tape and career → This week's real card →
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