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Fantasy matchup

Brendan Allen vs Caio BorralhoFantasy matchup — not a booked fight

#4 at Middleweight · #5 at Middleweight
Not a booked fightFANTASY MATCHUP — this fight is not booked. What our two blind models would say if it were.
Brendan Allen
UFC 15-4 · Pro 28-7
#4 at Middleweight
VS
Caio Borralho
UFC 8-1 · Pro 18-2
#5 at Middleweight

If they fought

A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.

Brendan Allen 60% Caio Borralho 40%

Run as an unbooked fight, the numbers favour Brendan Allen at 60% — a lean, not a conviction.

Our two reads agree, and closely. Both land on Brendan Allen — 60% on the first, 51% on the second, 9 points apart.

The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 49%.

KO/TKO
32%
Submission
11%
Decision
57%
These figures come from the same statistical reads we run on real cards, with the betting market removed — there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. Nothing here is timestamped against a result, nothing here is graded, and none of it counts towards our public record. It is a thought experiment with real numbers behind it.

Tale of the tape

Brendan Allen vs Caio Borralho — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 15-4UFC recordUFC 8-1
28-7Pro record18-2
All InNicknameThe Natural
6' 2"Height6' 1"
75"Reach75"
OrthodoxStanceSouthpaw
30Age33
185 lbs.Weight185 lbs.
United StatesNationalityBrazil
Beaufort, South Carolina, United StatesBorn inSão Luís, Maranhão, Brazil
Delray Beach, Florida, United StatesFights out ofSão Paulo, Brazil
Kill Cliff FCCampThe Fighting Nerds
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

Stat-by-stat

Brendan Allen (left) vs Caio Borralho (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
3.75
vs
3.47
Striking accuracy
52%
vs
56%
Strikes absorbed / min
3.78
vs
2.61
Striking defence
47%
vs
60%
Takedowns / 15 min
1.52
vs
1.25
Takedown accuracy
41%
vs
50%
Takedown defence
57%
vs
76%
Sub attempts / 15 min
1.1
vs
0.4
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Fights that have happened between them

None.

Brendan Allen and Caio Borralho have never met in the UFC.

Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.

The real fighters

Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.

Brendan Allen — record, tape and career → Caio Borralho — record, tape and career → This week's real card →
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