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Fantasy matchup

Arman Tsarukyan vs Paddy PimblettFantasy matchup — not a booked fight

#2 at Lightweight · #5 at Lightweight
Not a booked fightFANTASY MATCHUP — this fight is not booked. What our two blind models would say if it were.
Arman Tsarukyan
UFC 11-2 · Pro 24-3
#2 at Lightweight
VS
Paddy Pimblett
UFC 8-1 · Pro 24-4
#5 at Lightweight

If they fought

A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.

Arman Tsarukyan 76% Paddy Pimblett 24%

Run as an unbooked fight, the numbers favour Arman Tsarukyan at 76% — the widest kind of gap these reads produce.

Our two reads agree, and closely. Both land on Arman Tsarukyan — 76% on the first, 72% on the second, 4 points apart.

The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 51%.

KO/TKO
24%
Submission
15%
Decision
62%
These figures come from the same statistical reads we run on real cards, with the betting market removed — there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. Nothing here is timestamped against a result, nothing here is graded, and none of it counts towards our public record. It is a thought experiment with real numbers behind it.

Tale of the tape

Arman Tsarukyan vs Paddy Pimblett — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 11-2UFC recordUFC 8-1
24-3Pro record24-4
AhalkalaketsNicknameThe Baddy
5' 7"Height5' 10"
72"Reach▲73"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
30Age31
155 lbs.Weight155 lbs.
RussiaNationalityEngland
Akhalkalaki, GeorgiaBorn inLiverpool, Merseyside, England
Yerevan, ArmeniaFights out ofLiverpool, England
American Top TeamCampNext Generation MMA Liverpool
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

Stat-by-stat

Arman Tsarukyan (left) vs Paddy Pimblett (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
3.78
vs
5.48
Striking accuracy
49%
vs
52%
Strikes absorbed / min
1.77
vs
3.86
Striking defence
54%
vs
42%
Takedowns / 15 min
3.25
vs
0.68
Takedown accuracy
34%
vs
21%
Takedown defence
75%
vs
46%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.1
vs
1.4
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Fights that have happened between them

None.

Arman Tsarukyan and Paddy Pimblett have never met in the UFC.

Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.

The real fighters

Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.

Arman Tsarukyan — record, tape and career → Paddy Pimblett — record, tape and career → This week's real card →
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