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Fantasy matchup

Ailin Perez vs Raquel PenningtonFantasy matchup — not a booked fight

#3 at Women's Bantamweight · #4 at Women's Bantamweight
Not a booked fightFANTASY MATCHUP — this fight is not booked. What our two blind models would say if it were.
Ailin Perez
UFC 7-1 · Pro 14-2
#3 at Women's Bantamweight
VS
Raquel Pennington
UFC 13-6 · Pro 16-10
#4 at Women's Bantamweight

If they fought

A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.

Ailin Perez 77% Raquel Pennington 23%

Run as an unbooked fight, the numbers favour Ailin Perez at 77% — the widest kind of gap these reads produce.

Our two reads agree, and closely. Both land on Ailin Perez — 77% on the first, 73% on the second, 4 points apart.

The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 62%.

KO/TKO
14%
Submission
13%
Decision
73%
These figures come from the same statistical reads we run on real cards, with the betting market removed — there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. Nothing here is timestamped against a result, nothing here is graded, and none of it counts towards our public record. It is a thought experiment with real numbers behind it.

Tale of the tape

Ailin Perez vs Raquel Pennington — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 7-1UFC recordUFC 13-6
14-2Pro record16-10
FionaNicknameRocky
5' 5"Height5' 7"
66"Reach▲67"
SwitchStanceOrthodox
32Age38
135 lbs.Weight135 lbs.
ArgentinaNationalityUnited States
Hurlingham, Buenos Aires, ArgentinaBorn inColorado Springs, Colorado, United States
Buenos Aires, ArgentinaFights out ofColorado Springs, Colorado, United States
The Goat Shed AcademyCampAltitude MMA
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

Stat-by-stat

Ailin Perez (left) vs Raquel Pennington (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
2.82
vs
4.1
Striking accuracy
54%
vs
49%
Strikes absorbed / min
1.79
vs
3.32
Striking defence
56%
vs
61%
Takedowns / 15 min
4.34
vs
0.83
Takedown accuracy
45%
vs
27%
Takedown defence
66%
vs
62%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.1
vs
0.6
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Fights that have happened between them

None.

Ailin Perez and Raquel Pennington have never met in the UFC.

Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.

The real fighters

Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.

Ailin Perez — record, tape and career → Raquel Pennington — record, tape and career → This week's real card →
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