Mandel Nallo vs Nate Landwehr — tale of the tape

The prediction

Our pick, its confidence, the method read and the time we published it are on the bout’s own page — the one URL that carries the prediction before the fight and the graded result after it.

Mandel Nallo vs Nate Landwehr prediction →

Tale of the tape

Mandel Nallo vs Nate Landwehr — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 0-1	UFC record	UFC 5-6
14-4	Pro record	18-8
—	Nickname	The Train
6' 0"	Height	5' 9"
75"▲	Reach	72"
Orthodox	Stance	Orthodox
37	Age	38
155 lbs.	Weight	155 lbs.
Canada	Nationality	United States
—	Born in	Clarksville, Tennessee, United States
—	Fights out of	Clarksville, Tennessee, United States
Vancouver, British Columbia	Hometown (per Sherdog)	—
Tristar Gym	Camp	MMA Masters

Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Mandel NalloNate Landwehr

Striking

Defence

n/a

Grappling / TD

n/a

Cardio

3 limited sample

Chin

Fight IQ

Our read — derived, not official stats. Ranked within weight class.

Strike zones

Where they go — head to head

Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Mandel Nallo1 UFC fights · 16 landed

Limited sample

81.3%

HEAD

73.2%

6.2%

BODY

14.0%

12.5%

LEGS

12.8%

Nate Landwehr11 UFC fights · 571 landed

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.

Stat-by-stat

Mandel Nallo (left) vs Nate Landwehr (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min

8.26

5.55

Striking accuracy

58%

45%

Strikes absorbed / min

5.03

5.96

Striking defence

54%

51%

Takedowns / 15 min

0.73

Takedown accuracy

41%

Takedown defence

100%

71%

Sub attempts / 15 min

0.7

Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Live market

The market line next to the live prediction-market price — information only, not a bet call.

Sportsbook line

Mandel Nallo-250

Nate Landwehr+210

Live · Polymarket

Mandel Nallo71% · -245

Nate Landwehr29% · +245

as of 2026-10-11T14:01:02Z · $386 liquidity. The implied chance is the market's number, not ours.

Go deeper

Mandel Nallo's page → Nate Landwehr's page → Mandel Nallo vs Nate Landwehr prediction → Full Buckley vs Malott card →

Want to compare two other fighters? The build-your-own head-to-head lets you stack any two fighters we hold data on side by side — tale of the tape, stat-by-stat and the FightIQ Metrics. What it can't show is a prediction: we only publish a call we can be held to on a booked bout, timestamped before the cage door closes. For the pure hypothetical — two ranked fighters who have never met — see the fantasy matchups, which do put a number on it and are labelled, on every page, as fights that are not booked and are never graded.

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