Chelsea Chandler vs Melissa Croden

The prediction

Our pick, its confidence, the method read and the time we published it are on the bout’s own page — the one URL that carries the prediction before the fight and the graded result after it.

Chelsea Chandler vs Melissa Croden prediction →

Tale of the tape

Chelsea Chandler vs Melissa Croden — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 3-3	UFC record	UFC 2-1
7-4	Pro record	8-3
5' 8"	Height	5' 9"
68"	Reach	68"
Southpaw	Stance	Orthodox
35	Age	35
135 lbs.	Weight	135 lbs.
United States	Nationality	Canada
Stockton, California, United States	Born in	—
Stockton, California, United States	Fights out of	—
—	Hometown (per Sherdog)	Crowsnest Pass, Alberta
Cesar Gracie Jiu-Jitsu	Camp	Raven House MMA

Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Chelsea ChandlerMelissa Croden

Striking

Defence

Grappling / TD

Cardio

Chin

48 limited sample

Fight IQ

Our read — derived, not official stats. Ranked within weight class.

Strike zones

Where they go — head to head

Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Chelsea Chandler6 UFC fights · 195 landed

70.2%

HEAD

70.5%

26.7%

BODY

16.3%

3.1%

LEGS

13.2%

Melissa Croden3 UFC fights · 190 landed

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.

Stat-by-stat

Chelsea Chandler (left) vs Melissa Croden (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min

3.52

4.27

Striking accuracy

45%

47%

Strikes absorbed / min

4.27

2.13

Striking defence

40%

59%

Takedowns / 15 min

0.81

2.02

Takedown accuracy

60%

50%

Takedown defence

25%

66%

Sub attempts / 15 min

0.3

Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Live market

The market line next to the live prediction-market price — information only, not a bet call.

Sportsbook line

Chelsea Chandler+205

Melissa Croden-250

Live · Polymarket

Chelsea Chandler30% · +233

Melissa Croden70% · -233

as of 2026-10-11T17:51:02Z · $2,039 liquidity. The implied chance is the market's number, not ours.

Go deeper

Chelsea Chandler's page → Melissa Croden's page → Chelsea Chandler vs Melissa Croden prediction → Full Buckley vs Malott card →

Want to compare two other fighters? The build-your-own head-to-head lets you stack any two fighters we hold data on side by side — tale of the tape, stat-by-stat and the FightIQ Metrics. What it can't show is a prediction: we only publish a call we can be held to on a booked bout, timestamped before the cage door closes. For the pure hypothetical — two ranked fighters who have never met — see the fantasy matchups, which do put a number on it and are labelled, on every page, as fights that are not booked and are never graded.

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