This Saturday Buckley vs Malott · Rogers Place Edmonton AB Canada See this week's picks →
Events · Ankalaev vs Guskov ·

Abdul Hussein vs Cody Gibson

Red corner AbdulHusseinEspoon Kehahait · Born in Beirut, Lebanon · Fights out of Espoo, Finland
VSSettled
Blue corner CodyGibson“The Renegade”Elite Team · Born in Blackwell, Oklahoma, United States · Fights out of San Luis Obispo, California, United States
Bantamweight3 rounds25 Jul 2026
The story going in
  • Is 19 points more accurate striking than Gibson.
  • Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
  • Has finished 2 of 3 UFC wins.
16-2
Record
22-13
−10 yr28
Age
38
5' 7"
Height
+3″5' 10"
67″
Reach
+4″71″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Espoon Kehahait
Gym
Elite Team
Beirut, Lebanon
Born in
Blackwell, Oklahoma, United States
Espoo, Finland
Fights out of
San Luis Obispo, California, United States
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Abdul Hussein
70.2% confidentMED
Method calledDEC 44%
Vs the market−13.3pp
Market had our pick at83%
The fight
Abdul Hussein
WIN✗
How it endedSUB
Round3 of 3
Clock3:07
Called it We called Abdul Hussein at 70.2% and Abdul Hussein won. The method call missed.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action3 sub attempts
Abdul Hussein30 sig landed
HEAD93%28 of 44BODY7%2 of 3LEGS0%0 landed
Cody Gibson21 sig landed
HEAD57%12 of 38BODY29%6 of 8LEGS14%3 of 3
30 of 47
Sig.
strikes
21 of 49
0 of 1
Take-
downs
1 of 3
1:02
Control
1:06
0
Knock-
downs
0
0
Sub
attempts
3
Distance 22Clinch 8Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 15Clinch 5Ground 1
Round 25:00 of action⚡ 1 KD Hussein2 sub attempts
Abdul Hussein13 sig landed
HEAD92%12 of 23BODY8%1 of 1LEGS0%0 landed
Cody Gibson3 sig landed
HEAD0%0 of 3BODY67%2 of 2LEGS33%1 of 1
13 of 24
Sig.
strikes
3 of 6
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
4:44
Control
0:00
1
Knock-
downs
0
2
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 1Clinch 0Ground 12
Where it
happened
Distance 3Clinch 0Ground 0
Round 33:07 of action1 sub attemptEnded 3:07
Abdul Hussein22 sig landed
HEAD82%18 of 24BODY18%4 of 4LEGS0%0 landed
Cody Gibson20 sig landed
HEAD5%1 of 6BODY85%17 of 18LEGS10%2 of 2
22 of 28
Sig.
strikes
20 of 26
1 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
2:01
Control
0:10
0
Knock-
downs
0
1
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 15Clinch 3Ground 4
Where it
happened
Distance 4Clinch 16Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Abdul Hussein

Round
3
Clock
3:07
Method
SUB

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Mike Beltran.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Abdul Hussein

1.14takedowns / 15 min
1.14 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
2.01 / 15m
2.28 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
5.43 / 15m
50%
ACCURACY
37%
3.40 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.90 / 15m

Cody Gibson

2.01takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.50 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Bantamweight

The market story

What the market did on the way to the cage — the price, not our model. The gold marker is where our pick was published.

Abdul HusseinCody GibsonPolymarketSportsbook consensus (vig removed)
Abdul Hussein vs Cody Gibson — implied win chance over timeLine chart. Market-implied win chance for Abdul Hussein and Cody Gibson from Jul 20 to Jul 25, drawn from Polymarket and the sportsbook consensus. Abdul Hussein moves from 72% to 82% and Cody Gibson from 28% to 18%. A gold marker sits at the first snapshot in this window — our pick was published before the window opened, not at that price.10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%Jul 20Jul 22Jul 23Jul 24Jul 25▲ our call: Abdul Hussein (MED)82%18%

From the open the market drifted toward our pick: Abdul Hussein's implied chance moved up from 72% to 82% (+10.0pp). Our pick was published before this window opened — so the gold marker sits at the first snapshot we hold, not at a price we were reacting to.

This series stops at Jul 25 12:48Z — the point at which this bout’s own market began the move that ended in settlement. Our capture window is card-level and kept running through the fight, so what follows it in the raw file is the market collapsing live and then paying out at 1.00 / 0.00. That is a settlement, not price history: it is not drawn, and it is not counted in the figures below.

Our published call had Abdul Hussein at 70.2%. At the last price we captured before this bout’s market began to settle, the de-vigged market had the same fighter at 81.5% — our number sat 11.3pp below the market’s. Two numbers, side by side. How our calls have actually done is the public record, not one bout.

Show the numbers
SeriesOpenLowHighLast pre-fightMove
Abdul Hussein — sportsbook consensus76.6%75.5%84.0%83.3%+6.7pp
Cody Gibson — sportsbook consensus23.4%16.0%24.5%16.7%−6.7pp
Abdul Hussein — Polymarket71.5%47.0%84.5%81.5%+10.0pp
Cody Gibson — Polymarket28.5%15.5%53.0%18.5%−10.0pp
Price history from Polymarket (moneyline, both corners) and BestFightOdds (sportsbook consensus, vig removed). 1,320 snapshots on file · window Jul 20 21:09–Jul 25 12:42Z · last capture Jul 25, 12:42Z · hourly-downsampled for the chart · read at build time from the price archive, not a live feed.
← Back to the public record