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Events · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Costa ·

Cody Brundage vs Andre Petroski

Red corner CodyBrundageFactory X · Born in Chapin, South Carolina, United States · Fights out of Englewood, Colorado, United States
VSSettled
Blue corner AndrePetroskiRenzo Gracie Philly · Born in Springfield, Pennsylvania, United States
Middleweight3 rounds16 May 2026
The story going in
  • Has dropped 3 straight in the UFC.
  • Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
  • Has finished 4 of 5 UFC wins.
  • Has finished 3 of 8 UFC wins.
12-9-1
Record
13-6
−2 yr32
Age
34
6' 0"
Height
6' 0"
72″
Reach
+1″73″
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
+315
UFC bouts
12
+42%4/580% of wins
Finishes
3/838% of wins
Factory X
Gym
Renzo Gracie Philly
Chapin, South Carolina, United States
Born in
Springfield, Pennsylvania, United States
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Andre Petroski
57.9% confidentLOW
Method calledKO/TKO 41%
Vs the market−2.6pp
Market had our pick at60%
The fight
Cody Brundage
LOSS✓
How it endedKO/TKO
Round2 of 3
Clock0:44
Missed We called Andre Petroski at 57.9% — Cody Brundage won. We had the method right and the man wrong.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

2 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Cody Brundage6 sig landed
HEAD50%3 of 5BODY33%2 of 2LEGS17%1 of 3
Andre Petroski8 sig landed
HEAD25%2 of 6BODY12%1 of 4LEGS62%5 of 6
6 of 10
Sig.
strikes
8 of 16
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 1
0:02
Control
1:56
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 6Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 7Clinch 0Ground 1
Round 20:44 of action⚡ 1 KD BrundageEnded 0:44
Cody Brundage37 sig landed
HEAD100%37 of 50BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
Andre Petroski0 sig landed
HEAD0%0 of 1BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed

No significant strikes landed — 1 thrown

37 of 50
Sig.
strikes
0 of 1
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:32
Control
0:00
1
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 2Clinch 0Ground 35
Where it
happened
Distance 0Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Cody Brundage

Round
2
Clock
0:44
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Chris Tognoni.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Cody Brundage

1.80takedowns / 15 min
1.80 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
3.13 / 15m
4.39 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
6.02 / 15m
41%
ACCURACY
52%
0.50 / 15m
SUB ATT
1.20 / 15m

Andre Petroski

3.13takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (6.86 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Middleweight

The market story

What the market did on the way to the cage — the price, not our model. The gold marker is where our pick was published.

Cody BrundageAndre PetroskiPolymarketSportsbook consensus (vig removed)
Cody Brundage vs Andre Petroski — implied win chance over timeLine chart. Market-implied win chance for Cody Brundage and Andre Petroski from May 02 to May 16, drawn from Polymarket and the sportsbook consensus. Cody Brundage moves from 50% to 36% and Andre Petroski from 50% to 64%. A gold marker sits at the first snapshot in this window — our pick was published before the window opened, not at that price.25%35%45%55%65%May 2May 6May 9May 13May 16▲ our call: Andre Petroski (LOW)36%64%

From the open the market drifted toward our pick: Andre Petroski's implied chance moved up from 50% to 64% (+14.0pp). Our pick was published before this window opened — so the gold marker sits at the first snapshot we hold, not at a price we were reacting to.

Our published call had Andre Petroski at 57.9%. At the last price we captured before the fight, the de-vigged market had the same fighter at 64.0% — our number sat 6.1pp below the market’s. Two numbers, side by side. How our calls have actually done is the public record, not one bout.

Show the numbers
SeriesOpenLowHighLast captureMove
Cody Brundage — sportsbook consensus35.5%33.8%51.4%51.4%+15.9pp
Andre Petroski — sportsbook consensus64.5%48.6%66.2%48.6%−15.9pp
Cody Brundage — Polymarket50.0%36.0%50.0%36.0%−14.0pp
Andre Petroski — Polymarket50.0%50.0%64.0%64.0%+14.0pp
Price history from Polymarket (moneyline, both corners) and BestFightOdds (sportsbook consensus, vig removed). 3,604 snapshots on file · window May 02 18:46–May 16 23:57Z · last capture May 16, 23:57Z · hourly-downsampled for the chart · read at build time from the price archive, not a live feed.
← Back to the public record